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Tuesday, 17 November 20
COAL SQUEEZE INTENSIFIES - BALTIC EXCHANGE
 The message from the top is clear: cut out coal. While the regulatory pressure has been evident for some time, the race to banish the black stuff stepped up a notch last week when a $5 trillion valued institutional investor group made up of many of the world’s largest insurers and pension schemes warned the companies they invest in not to finance, insure, build, develop or plan new thermal coal plants.
The statement came from the Net-Zero Asset Owner Alliance, whose members include Zurich, Allianz, Wespath and Munich Re.
The objective of the Group’s Thermal Coal Position paper is to encourage transition pathways towards decarbonisation. “Together, investors, governments and companies all have a responsibility to act on global emissions reduction. Additional thermal coal developments for energy generation are ultimately irreconcilable with the exercise of this responsibility,” the Alliance said.
The position paper is the latest in a stream of anti-coal rhetoric, putting increasing pressure on seaborne volumes through the 2020s. One recent coal casualty has been the withdrawal of investors in a South African multi-billion-dollar coal-fired power plant project, the 630 megawatt Thabametsi coal-based power plant project in the northern Limpopo province.
South Africa’s biggest state pension fund manager the Public Investment Corporation, and the Industrial Development Corporation, are no longer supporting the project, which was planned to come online in 2021. Newswire Reuters reports that the Development Bank of Southern Africa is also reassessing the project to determine if it is in line with its policy of a “just transition towards a low carbon economy”.
Falling from the peak
In the US, coal consumption has been declining since its peak in 2017 of 1.1 billion short tons. In 2019, US coal consumption totalled 590 million short tons, according to the US Energy Information Administration (EIA). However, despite projected growth in natural gas and renewable energy use to generate electricity through 2050, the EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook 2020 projects in its reference case that coal and nuclear power plants will collectively provide more than 25% of generation through 2050. End consumers and investors are pushing for that percentage to be reduced before the 30-year projection window is up.
According to data from the EIA, 121 US coal-fired power plants were repurposed to burn other types of fuels between 2011 and 2019, 103 of which were converted to or replaced by natural gas-fired plants. At the end of 2010, 316.8 gigawatts of coal-fired capacity existed in the US, but by the end of 2019, 49.2 gigawatts of that amount was retired, 14.3 gigawatts had the boiler converted to burn natural gas, and 15.3 gigawatts was replaced with natural gas combined cycle.
As the US coal-fired electric generation fleet continues to manage challenges from emission standards and low prices for natural gas, the EIA expects more of these conversions to take place in the future. The Administration has already been notified of eight planned natural gas combined cycle projects, five of which are currently under construction, which will replace existing coal plants.
Across the Atlantic, increased pressure is coming from the European Commission, which published revised emission reduction targets for 2030 in September, requiring greenhouse gas emissions to be reduced by at least 55% by 2030, compared with 1990 levels. This equates to a near-exit from coal by 2025, according to a report from consultant Climact and think-tank Ecologic analysing the EC’s impact assessment. The analysis found that coal could only represent around 2% of the EU’s energy mix under any scenario meeting the target, down from the previous target of 15%.
In its own impact assessment, the EC states that it expects coal to become “marginal in final energy demand in 2030, driven by reductions in industry and the declared policies in a number of Member States to reduce coal for heating purposes, as well as the required increase in uptake of renewables”. While most EU countries have set coal phase-out plans that would end its use before 2030, Romania, Bulgaria, Czechia, Slovenia and Croatia have not set any coal phase-out date yet.
Local law changes are also putting the dampeners on future global coal supply. For example, in Vietnam a new law on public-private partnerships (PPP) that comes into effect next year creates new hurdles for foreign coal investors. The Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis’ energy finance analyst Thu Vu predicts that the new regulatory challenges, coupled with market challenges, will likely prove too onerous for foreign investors in four of the 15 remaining coal power projects in Vietnam’s pipeline: Nam Dinh 1, Vung Ang 2, Vinh Tan 3 and Song Hau 2. These projects have not yet reached the commissioning phase, with contractual agreements still waiting for official sign-off.
“South Korean, Japanese and Chinese investors will likely struggle with changes brought about by the new PPP Law,” said Vu. “In provinces such as Binh Thuan where the proposed Japanese-backed Vinh Tan 3 will reside, renewable energy alternatives have been tried and tested in the past two years, with more solar and wind capacity awaiting in the pipeline. Vung Ang 2’s Ha Tinh province is also seeing a pick-up in renewable investments. Furthermore, local opposition to more polluting coal power in these areas is fierce, compromising the ability of project sponsors to mobilise local government support for their projects.”
Thermal coal imports are still expected to rise in 2020 into the Southeast Asia region as a whole – indeed, the ASEAN region may be the only remaining bright spot for coal as other regions put the squeeze on demand and production. In recognition of this the ASEAN Centre for Energy and the World Coal Association signed a Memorandum of Understanding last week with WCA chief executive Michelle Manook stressing that coal is a “critical enabler in emerging economies for economic growth, particularly those across the ASEAN region. Ms Manook added that the ASEAN region has the right to affordable sources of energy and to build their societies through the crucial role coal plays in steel and cement production – offering a pocket of hope for those in the coal broking, trading and moving industries.
Source: Baltic Exchange
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Wednesday, 12 August 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2020 WILL DECREASE BY 29% FROM 2019 LEVELS TO 502 MMST - EIA
U.S. coal consumption, which dropped to its lowest point since April, totaled 95 MMst in the second quarter of 2020.
EIA expec ...
Tuesday, 11 August 20
BHP COAL ASSETS WORTH A BILLION LESS THAN JUST TWO YEARS AGO - IEEFA
Another global investor, the UK’s biggest public pension fund NEST, has withdrawn funds from BHP this week because the company is profiting & ...
Monday, 10 August 20
COAL IMPORT DROPS 43% IN JULY OWING TO HIGH STOCKPILE AT PITHEADS, PLANTS - PTI
“The market participants seem to have adopted a wait and watch approach and are currently looking for a direction. We do not expect to see an ...
Saturday, 08 August 20
GLOBAL COAL POWER PUZZLE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Global Energy Monitor’s latest Global Coal Plant Tracker has put another nail in the coffin for the coal-carrying fleet with its finding that ...
Friday, 07 August 20
PEABODY'S $1.42 BILLION WRITE-DOWN CONCEDES COAL MINES HAVE LITTLE VALUE AND DIM FUTURE - IEEFA
Trouble at biggest mine in Powder River Basin speaks volumes about state of industry
Peabody Energy, the world’s largest priva ...
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Economic Council, Georgia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
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