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Wednesday, 14 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The tanker market has experienced severe freight rate and asset value declines over the past 5 months. A potential market upturn may arise in the coming winter period due to the seasonal demand for oil and its derivatives, however, such a boost will likely not suffice in positioning the market towards a recovery phase. With a second COVID-19 wave being potentially imminent, a dampening of crude oil demand may be upon us. A softened importing activity is already being observed in China (the world’s most prominent importer of crude). Chinese imports have been on a slowdown with volumes approaching end of Q1 – start of Q2 levels. Similar import tendencies have been exhibited by other leading importers due to the expectation of a second lockdown.
Tanker vessel values have come under significant pressure from the start of the year. With the exception of a few short-lived periods when a high demand for older tonnage due to storage projects was observed, crude ships have seen their values decline year-to-date. Leaving aside the Ocean tanker’s fleet, there is a scarcity of 5 to 10-year-old crude tankers on sale. There is a slightly higher supply of candidates for sale in the 13-16-year-old tanker vessel segment. The question is whether one should invest in a 15-year old crude tanker under a market that shows little signs of recovery. The present-day assumption employed by seasoned shipping veterans is that there is still a long way to go until the tanker market reaches rock bottom.
Despite potential long-run returns that an investment in a depressed market may yield, it can be argued that taking a stake in the secondhand market under the current market conditions may not be the only way forward for a shipping company. Present-day VLCC and Suezmax orderbook to fleet ratios are 8% and 9% respectively which are 5-year lows. Moreover, if we factor in demolitions to be undertaken until the end of the year, we could be looking at lower VLCC, Suezmax and crude tanker fleet growths than the already respectively subdued ones of 2.5%, 3.3% and 2.4%.
Newbuilding prices placed in Japanese, South Korean and Chinese yards with established track records have significantly decreased since the start of the year. Current VLCC and Suezmax newbuildings come at 8% and 10% price reductions respectively as opposed to January, 2020. Placing a VLCC or Suezmax order may make intuitive sense should the pressure on the tanker market continue to mount while signs of a recovery ahead remain bleak. By placing an order now, one would be allowing for a healthy time leeway for the combating of the pandemic. Despite being in the middle of a global health crisis, the shipping market still holds numerous opportunities in both the newbuilding and secondhand fronts which are awaiting to be exploited.
By Timos Papadimitriou,
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 02 November 20
PHILIPPINES GOVERNMENT SAYS NO TO NEW COAL PLANT PROPOSALS - IEEFA | 24 PILIPINAS
The Duterte administration will no longer accept proposals to construct new coal power plants, a dramatic shift in energy policy that counts on dec ...
Sunday, 01 November 20
GRADUAL RECOVERY FOR INDONESIAN COAL FROM 4Q20; RISKS REMAIN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings expects the credit metrics of Indonesian coal miners and coal contractors to improve from 4Q20 with the recovery in volumes and price ...
Wednesday, 28 October 20
BIODIESEL - NEW FUELS, NEW CHALLENGES - GARD | DNV GL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
One of numerous possible ways to comply with the IMO’s strategy on the reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions ...
Wednesday, 28 October 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.35 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 127.94 points Monday, up 0.35 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Wednesday, 28 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The global strive towards eco-friendliness and environmental sustainability in the shipping industry is mounting. There are currently almost 200 co ...
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- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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