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Wednesday, 07 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The challenges brought forward in 2020 proved to be very different from what we could have ever imagined. Together with placing a significant strain on healthcare systems, COVID-19 also adversely impacted global businesses, trade, supply chains and economies. The maritime industry has been faced with extended regulatory constraints on international, national and regional levels in an attempt to contain the spread of the pandemic. Our industry has once again dynamically adapted to change by embracing the “new normal” modus operandi that the virus has imposed on shipping.
On the dry bulk ship supply side, the world fleet has increased by about 350 vessels y-o-y at an approximate 3.4% annual growth rate whereas growth rates in 2019 and 2018 were 2.5% and 2% respectively. The current dry bulk orderbook – excluding slippage/cancellations – stands below 6% of the world fleet. As expected, dry bulk order replenishment in 2020 has been minimal to date; the sector’s orderbook diminished y-o-y by about 200 vessels. The number of vessels aged over 25 years has increased by around 50 from last September while 20-plus year-old bulk carriers constitute about 9.5% of the dry bulk fleet.
The 171-tanker y-o-y vessel fleet increase (just over 3% of total fleet) was led by the MR segment and comprised of 74 MR, 40 VLCC, 18 Suezmax, 16 Aframax/LR2, 14 Handy and 9 Panamax/LR1 vessel additions. All-in-all this was a good year for tankers; the tanker orderbook is marginally smaller as compared to September 2019 – it is down by ca. 15 vessels. It is worth noting that the tanker orderbook had declined by over 100 vessels last year. The current tanker orderbook to fleet ratio is about 7% which is a 5-year low and the 20-plus year-old vessel fleet recorded an increase of around 100 ships.
The tough measures employed globally to limit the spread of COVID-19 have caused an economic slowdown in both emerging and developed nations. A number of countries have thus far avoided severe economic adversities via the use of aid from sizeable fiscal and monetary policy support packages. Economic growth forecasts for all regions are dire and a worldwide GDP contraction is projected (at least) for 2020. However, the current freight market (especially for the dry segment) illustrates that there is still a growing demand for seaborne transportation. It can be argued that the pandemic is just an “additional” disruption which the shipping industry is charged with tackling. This disruption is analogous to previous shipping market suppressants such as production interruptions, economic concerns and political instability. At the end of the day, one has to be reminded that shipping is an infinite game and its perpetuation should be the key governing objective behind all of its players.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 04 May 20
U.S. ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION FALL 39.4% YEAR ON YEAR IN THE WEEK ENDED APRIL 25 - EIA
Estimated U.S. coal production totaled about 8.6 million short tons (MMst) For the week ended April 25, 2020, says EIA in its latest report.
E ...
Saturday, 02 May 20
SUPRAMAX: ASIA, STRONGER NUMBERS - A 55.000-DWT WAS FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO CHINA IN THE MID $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A tepid week for the big ships, as macro concerns continued to weigh heavily on the index. All of the major voyage routes lost value, ...
Friday, 01 May 20
KOSPO INVITED OFFER FOR 5600 NCV COAL FOR Q3 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 260,000 Metric Tons (MT) steam coal for Boryeong Power ...
Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY ABOUT 8% IN 2020,THE LARGEST DROP SINCE WORLD WAR II - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by about 8% in 2020, the largest drop since World War II, with coal use declining in virtually every sector of ...
Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY 8% IN Q1 2020 RELATIVE TO Q1 2019 - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by 8% in Q1 2020 relative to Q1 2019. This significant drop was driven by lower demand in the electricity sect ...
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- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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