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Wednesday, 07 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The challenges brought forward in 2020 proved to be very different from what we could have ever imagined. Together with placing a significant strain on healthcare systems, COVID-19 also adversely impacted global businesses, trade, supply chains and economies. The maritime industry has been faced with extended regulatory constraints on international, national and regional levels in an attempt to contain the spread of the pandemic. Our industry has once again dynamically adapted to change by embracing the “new normal” modus operandi that the virus has imposed on shipping.
On the dry bulk ship supply side, the world fleet has increased by about 350 vessels y-o-y at an approximate 3.4% annual growth rate whereas growth rates in 2019 and 2018 were 2.5% and 2% respectively. The current dry bulk orderbook – excluding slippage/cancellations – stands below 6% of the world fleet. As expected, dry bulk order replenishment in 2020 has been minimal to date; the sector’s orderbook diminished y-o-y by about 200 vessels. The number of vessels aged over 25 years has increased by around 50 from last September while 20-plus year-old bulk carriers constitute about 9.5% of the dry bulk fleet.
The 171-tanker y-o-y vessel fleet increase (just over 3% of total fleet) was led by the MR segment and comprised of 74 MR, 40 VLCC, 18 Suezmax, 16 Aframax/LR2, 14 Handy and 9 Panamax/LR1 vessel additions. All-in-all this was a good year for tankers; the tanker orderbook is marginally smaller as compared to September 2019 – it is down by ca. 15 vessels. It is worth noting that the tanker orderbook had declined by over 100 vessels last year. The current tanker orderbook to fleet ratio is about 7% which is a 5-year low and the 20-plus year-old vessel fleet recorded an increase of around 100 ships.
The tough measures employed globally to limit the spread of COVID-19 have caused an economic slowdown in both emerging and developed nations. A number of countries have thus far avoided severe economic adversities via the use of aid from sizeable fiscal and monetary policy support packages. Economic growth forecasts for all regions are dire and a worldwide GDP contraction is projected (at least) for 2020. However, the current freight market (especially for the dry segment) illustrates that there is still a growing demand for seaborne transportation. It can be argued that the pandemic is just an “additional” disruption which the shipping industry is charged with tackling. This disruption is analogous to previous shipping market suppressants such as production interruptions, economic concerns and political instability. At the end of the day, one has to be reminded that shipping is an infinite game and its perpetuation should be the key governing objective behind all of its players.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 01 August 20
ASIA HOPE FOR LONG-TERM OIL DEMAND - BALTIC BRIEFING
Oil demand in Asia Pacific might be expected to plunge 1.8m barrels per day (bpd) this year, but there are still strong prospects for growth over t ...
Friday, 31 July 20
SHORT-TERM IMPACT ON THE CHEMICAL SHIPPING MARKET IF THE INDIA-CHINA DISPUTE ESCALATES - DREWRY
Due to the India-China dispute, the threat of deteriorating trade relations between the two countries has become real. Meanwhile, we expect freight ...
Friday, 31 July 20
PANAMAX: THE PERIOD MARKET REMAINS QUIET WITH FEW FIXTURES REPORTED - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
After weeks of dropping rates, there are finally some resistance for the Capes. Pacific rounds improving to upper15,000s by the middle ...
Friday, 31 July 20
PANDEMIC SENDING SOUTH AFRICAN COAL INDUSTRY TO EARLIER GRAVE - IEEFA
Could South Africa’s coal export industry, one of the largest in the world, be about to take a severe hit from the coronavirus?
...
Friday, 31 July 20
BOTSWANA PLANS MORE COAL-FIRED POWER AS AFRICAN SOLAR ACCELERATES - IEEFA
An African economic leader like Botswana should embrace solar to reduce subsidies and tariff hikes
As Sub-Saharan solar ambition has ...
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- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- PTC India Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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