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Wednesday, 07 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The challenges brought forward in 2020 proved to be very different from what we could have ever imagined. Together with placing a significant strain on healthcare systems, COVID-19 also adversely impacted global businesses, trade, supply chains and economies. The maritime industry has been faced with extended regulatory constraints on international, national and regional levels in an attempt to contain the spread of the pandemic. Our industry has once again dynamically adapted to change by embracing the “new normal” modus operandi that the virus has imposed on shipping.
On the dry bulk ship supply side, the world fleet has increased by about 350 vessels y-o-y at an approximate 3.4% annual growth rate whereas growth rates in 2019 and 2018 were 2.5% and 2% respectively. The current dry bulk orderbook – excluding slippage/cancellations – stands below 6% of the world fleet. As expected, dry bulk order replenishment in 2020 has been minimal to date; the sector’s orderbook diminished y-o-y by about 200 vessels. The number of vessels aged over 25 years has increased by around 50 from last September while 20-plus year-old bulk carriers constitute about 9.5% of the dry bulk fleet.
The 171-tanker y-o-y vessel fleet increase (just over 3% of total fleet) was led by the MR segment and comprised of 74 MR, 40 VLCC, 18 Suezmax, 16 Aframax/LR2, 14 Handy and 9 Panamax/LR1 vessel additions. All-in-all this was a good year for tankers; the tanker orderbook is marginally smaller as compared to September 2019 – it is down by ca. 15 vessels. It is worth noting that the tanker orderbook had declined by over 100 vessels last year. The current tanker orderbook to fleet ratio is about 7% which is a 5-year low and the 20-plus year-old vessel fleet recorded an increase of around 100 ships.
The tough measures employed globally to limit the spread of COVID-19 have caused an economic slowdown in both emerging and developed nations. A number of countries have thus far avoided severe economic adversities via the use of aid from sizeable fiscal and monetary policy support packages. Economic growth forecasts for all regions are dire and a worldwide GDP contraction is projected (at least) for 2020. However, the current freight market (especially for the dry segment) illustrates that there is still a growing demand for seaborne transportation. It can be argued that the pandemic is just an “additional” disruption which the shipping industry is charged with tackling. This disruption is analogous to previous shipping market suppressants such as production interruptions, economic concerns and political instability. At the end of the day, one has to be reminded that shipping is an infinite game and its perpetuation should be the key governing objective behind all of its players.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 November 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 05 November 20
THE INDONESIA COAL PRICE REFERENCE RISES FOR SECOND CONSECUTIVE MONTH
COALspot.com: The Indonesia Coal Price Reference rose for a 2nd month by 9.24% month on month. The Indonesia Coal Price Reference for the month of ...
Wednesday, 04 November 20
PHILIPPINES COAL MORATORIUM HIGHLIGHTS DRAMATIC PIVOT TO RENEWABLE ENERGY INVESTMENT FOR LOWER PRICES AND POWER SYSTEM RESILIENCE - IEEFA
Policymakers and industry leaders ready to embrace new energy technologies
The Department of Energy’s call for a moratorium on ...
Wednesday, 04 November 20
FOREIGN INVESTORS FACE TOUGH TIMES CLOSING VIETNAM’S REMAINING COAL POWER DEALS - IEEFA
Project bankability at risk as new regulations threaten usual contractual terms
Foreign investors will face higher-than-usual risks ...
Wednesday, 04 November 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the end of the year approaches, one would definitely notice that the newbuilding orderbook for bulk carriers is significantly smaller compared t ...
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- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PTC India Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Australian Coal Association
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
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