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Wednesday, 02 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The imminent global shift towards eco-friendliness has caused divide among the shipping community because there is no outlined, clear-cut way via which shipowners can start approaching the future IMO targets. In 2018, the Marine Environmental Protection Committee adopted a greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions reduction strategy entailing (among others): reduction of CO2 emissions by at least 40% by 2030 and by at least 50% by 2050, compared to 2008 levels. Earlier this month, the 4th IMO GHG study forecasted that shipping emissions are due to increase by approximately 50% till 2050! This will undoubtedly speed up the need for effective GHG mitigation techniques in the maritime industry. It can be argued that realistic attainment of the IMO 2050 target will likely need to encompass a combination of market-based, technological, logistical and ship finance measures. Propulsion methods such as LNG and ammonia currently offer high yet expensive CO2 mitigation potentials. On the other hand, a bunker levy could offer a directly implementable and R&D cost-free approach towards the IMO targets.
A bunker levy may be implemented by a direct carbon tax or an emission trading scheme (ETS). The latter is less desirable since it can only absorb (40-75)% of emissions captured by a current respective bunker levy. Carbon neutral fuels would set a zero-levy baseline; the levy could be increased with increasing carbon footprint of fuels. This method would require a tax per ton of CO2 ($/CO2) emission equivalent (as an industry benchmark). The three current levy implementation strategies proposed in 2019 by the Technical University of Denmark led by Dr. Harilaos Psaraftis include low, medium and high levy intensity strategies.
A horizontal IMO-imposed levy could be enacted on a gradual basis starting from 2023-24 to account for the current newbuilding orders placed. Current IFO price is at around $280/ton, therefore a carbon levy of $75/ton (even at a [15-25]% initial implementation) would increase fuel costs by approximately [5-7]%. Alternatively, a greater than 70% levy imposition by 2030 could be overly aggressive as it would require the timely development of GHG reduction technologies to avoid the shifting of costs from shipowners to end consumers. This is because total annual costs to the shipping industry would exceed $65 billion (computed based on BP’s Statistical Energy Review & Outlook, 2019). The revenue stream distribution of the carbon levy would have to be carefully allocated by the IMO. Arguably, a significant proportion of the funds would have to be used to finance greener shipbuilding methods (inclusive of R&D required) and end-products (vessels). The policy could also incentivize investment in eco-friendly vessel newbuildings by providing lower carbon taxation rates on vessels with better Energy Efficiency Design Indices (EEDIs).
In conclusion, an industry-wide carbon levy may be an efficient approach towards carbon neutrality in shipping due to its direct implement-ability and cost-effectiveness. Regardless of the method(s) employed, successful and feasible GHG mitigation would need to impact all shipowners fairly; this could be accomplished by accurate assessment of each vessel’s carbon footprint. Achieving the IMO 2050 target will require sound collaboration among regulators, industry players and research and financial institutions which could in turn result in the much anticipated and needed re-designing of the international seaborne landscape.
By Dionysis Kourouniotis
Research & Valuations Department
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 10 September 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2020 TO BE 511 MMST, 28 PER CENT LOWER THAN IN 2019 - EIA
EIA expects total U.S. coal production in 2020 to be 511 million short tons (MMst), 194 MMst (28%) lower than in 2019. Mitigation efforts related t ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
DRY BULK SHIPPING: CHINA'S DEMAND KEEPING THE DRY BULK MARKET GOING - PETER SAND | BIMCO
Overview
An impressive recovery in Chinese dry bulk imports has protected the industry from the effects of falling demand in the rest of the wo ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
TANKER SHIPPING: FREIGHT RATES BACK AT LOSS-MAKING LEVELS AFTER 12 VERY PROFITABLE MONTHS - BIMCO
Overview
A stunningly strong 12 months for the tanker shipping industry is now being replaced by lower freight rates, as lower oil product ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS STUMBLE IN AUGUST, RAISING RISK OF SLOW RECOVERY - REFINITIV | BANCHERO COSTA
After posting a mild recovery in July, India's coal imports have stumbled in August as the South Asian nation battles to restart it ...
Thursday, 10 September 20
THE FIRST 8 MONTHS OF 2020, INDONESIA EXPORTED 217.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL BASED ON REFINITIV - BANCHERO COSTA
The coal market has been hit by a weaker global economy as a result of COVID-19 pandemic and falling industrial electricity demand  ...
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- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Coal Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
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