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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 04 May 20
U.S. ESTIMATED COAL PRODUCTION FALL 39.4% YEAR ON YEAR IN THE WEEK ENDED APRIL 25 - EIA
Estimated U.S. coal production totaled about 8.6 million short tons (MMst) For the week ended April 25, 2020, says EIA in its latest report.
E ...
Saturday, 02 May 20
SUPRAMAX: ASIA, STRONGER NUMBERS - A 55.000-DWT WAS FIXED FROM INDONESIA TO CHINA IN THE MID $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
A tepid week for the big ships, as macro concerns continued to weigh heavily on the index. All of the major voyage routes lost value, ...
Friday, 01 May 20
KOSPO INVITED OFFER FOR 5600 NCV COAL FOR Q3 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Southern Power Co., Ltd. (KOSPO) has issued an International tender for 260,000 Metric Tons (MT) steam coal for Boryeong Power ...
Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY ABOUT 8% IN 2020,THE LARGEST DROP SINCE WORLD WAR II - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by about 8% in 2020, the largest drop since World War II, with coal use declining in virtually every sector of ...
Friday, 01 May 20
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND TO FALL BY 8% IN Q1 2020 RELATIVE TO Q1 2019 - IEA
We expect global coal demand to fall by 8% in Q1 2020 relative to Q1 2019. This significant drop was driven by lower demand in the electricity sect ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PTC India Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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