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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 14 October 20
CHINA COKING COAL FUTURES RALLY ON REPORTED BAN ON AUSTRALIA CARGOES - REUTERS
Dalian coking coal futures rallied for a sixth straight session on Tuesday after reports surfaced that China had stopped buying coal from Australia ...
Wednesday, 14 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The tanker market has experienced severe freight rate and asset value declines over the past 5 months. A potential market upturn may arise in the c ...
Friday, 09 October 20
INDIA'S COAL IMPORTS IMPROVE SOMEWHAT, BUT RECOVERY IS UNEVEN - REUTERS
India’s coal imports, depressed by the impact of coronavirus this year, regained ground in September, but in an uneven uptick – shipmen ...
Thursday, 08 October 20
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS FROM INDONESIA DECLINED 16.4% Y-O-Y, TO 80.2 MLN TONNES IN THE FIRST 9 MONTHS OF 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports boomed in 2019, surprising many who had expected the government would clamp down strictly on shipments.
...
Thursday, 08 October 20
GLIMMER OF LIGHT FOR COAL, BUT SHORT TERM - FNARENA
Is coal on the rebound? Demand appears stronger and supply reductions have underpinned a tightening market. Certainly, the Newcastle thermal coal p ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- MS Steel International - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
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