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Friday, 31 July 20
SHORT-TERM IMPACT ON THE CHEMICAL SHIPPING MARKET IF THE INDIA-CHINA DISPUTE ESCALATES - DREWRY
 Due to the India-China dispute, the threat of deteriorating trade relations between the two countries has become real. Meanwhile, we expect freight rates to decline in 3Q20 on routes from the Middle East/India to China
The India and China border dispute emerged after the military clash between the two countries on 15 June in Ladakh. The scuffle sparked a ‘boycott of Chinese products’ in India, raising concerns about the deterioration of trade between the two countries, with chemicals not being spared. However, if the disputes escalate, the impact on chemical trade is expected to be limited as only a few chemical products such as paraxylene, sulphuric acid, benzene, and ethylene glycol are traded between the two countries, with paraxylene being the largest chemical product exported from India to China.
Paraxylene is used as feedstock to produce purified terephthalic acid (PTA) and dimethyl terephthalate (DMT), which are used in the production of polyethylene terephthalate (PET) polymer for the production of polyester fibres. Meanwhile, demand for polyester will surge with the increasing development of PTA units in China, being one of the biggest importers of paraxylene. China sources its paraxylene requirements from South Korea, India, and Japan. India exported 414,000 tonnes of paraxylene to China in 2Q20, accounting for nearly 50% of Indian exports. Going forward, we expect a 40% fall in Indian paraxylene exports to China in 3Q20 due to the stressed environment. This will translate into a decline in paraxylene trade of about 124,000 tonnes on the Middle East/India to China route, thereby putting pressure on freight rates.
Apart from China, India also exports paraxylene to Indonesia, Malaysia, and to the US in a limited quantity. In 1Q20, before the pandemic, India traded 53% of its total paraxylene exports to China, 16.3% to Indonesia, 12.5% to Malaysia and a mere 6.3% to the US. It will be difficult for India to increase export volumes to these countries as demand is limited. Hence, the Indian export market for paraxylene will be affected in the remainder of 2020.
Indeed, it is clear that as a result of the dispute between the dragon and the elephant, there will be an oversupply of paraxylene in India in 3Q20. With high inventories of paraxylene in India, plants will be forced to cut operating rates. China, on the other hand, will have to source paraxylene from other countries as its demand is likely to pick up in 3Q20. Therefore, we expect freight rates to weaken on routes from the Middle East/India to China in 3Q20.
Source: Drewry
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Friday, 10 July 20
GLOBAL SHIPPING EARNINGS FORECAST CUT AS SUPPLY SET TO OUTSTRIP DEMAND - MOODY'S
EBITDA forecast worsens, keeping outlook negative. We now expect the aggregate EBITDA of rated shipping companies to fall by around 16%-18% in 2020 ...
Friday, 10 July 20
SLOW RECOVERY IN TANKER RATES TO WEIGH ON BUANA LINTAS LAUTAN - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings believes that international tanker rates are likely improve after their sharp fall since May 2020, albeit at a slow pace. The weaknes ...
Wednesday, 08 July 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
During the previous month, the dry bulk market witnessed an impressive increase in the BDI index that has reached 1800 points from 500 with a clear ...
Tuesday, 07 July 20
COAL INDIA WORKERS STRIKE CUTS OUTPUT BY 56%: OFFICIAL - REUTERS
A strike at Coal India Ltd cut production by 56% in the three days ending July 4 as workers oppose opening up coal mining to the private sector, a ...
Tuesday, 07 July 20
WHAT DOES THE PATHWAY TO A NET-ZERO ECONOMY LOOK LIKE FOR MINERS? - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wind, solar, electric vehicles, stationary storage and transmission are all central to achieving the Paris Agreement decarbonisation goals.
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
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