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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 29 April 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 3.03 MILLION TONS WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com: In the week ended 07:00 hours 28 April 2014, power plant and semi-soft coking coal shipments from the port of Newcastle in Queensl ...
Tuesday, 29 April 14
Q2 API 8 CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST 0.29% MONTH ON MONTH
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swaps for average Q2 14 deliveries lost 0.29 percent month on month and closed at US$ 75.43 per mt as o ...
Monday, 28 April 14
CHINA LIKELY TO FALL SHORT OF NUCLEAR POWER TARGETS AT 175GW OF CAPACITY BY 2030 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Coal will remain dominant supply at 64% of power mix
Wood Mackenzie forecasts that China will not meet its environmentally-driven, government ...
Sunday, 27 April 14
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market seems to have bottomed out and saw some marginal gains in all segments, said Capt. Reddy of Vistaar Shipping In ...
Friday, 25 April 14
US PRODUCED APPROXIMATELY 19 MILLION SHORT TONS OF COAL IN A WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's second largest coal producer, produced approximately 19.0 million short tons (mmst) of coal i ...
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
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