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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 18 August 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP PERFORMED WELL THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for delivery in September 2014 increased US$ 0.45 (+0.66%) day on day and US$ 0.30 (+0.44%)&nbs ...
Saturday, 16 August 14
HIGH DEMAND OF IRON ORE SHIPMENTS PUSHED CAPE INDEX UPWARDS
COALspot.com: This week's freight market was buoyant with Cape and panamax index seeing a big jump pushing the BDI above 1,000 points week on c ...
Friday, 15 August 14
5TH ANNUAL POWER AND ELECTRICITY INDONESIA
5TH ANNUAL POWER AND ELECTRICITY INDONESIA
13-16 October 2014
Grand Hyatt Jakarta, Indonesia
Web Site
The country’s definitive ...
Thursday, 14 August 14
U.S. STEAM COAL IMPORTS REMAIN DOWN SHARPLY FROM HISTORIC HIGH IN 2007, SAYS EIA
COALspot.com: U.S. steam coal imports at power plants have fallen significantly from their peak level of more than 30 million tons in 2007 to less ...
Thursday, 14 August 14
INDIA'S PLAN TO START AN INFRASTRUCTURE BOOM AND TO INVEST US$ 1 TRILLION BY 2017 WILL SURELY AFFECT THE DRY BULK TRADE - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic Supra market has continued its improving sentiment with rates climbing and TA´s are now up about US$ 900 w-o-w, said Fea ...
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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