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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 18 September 14
INDONESIA'S JULY COAL EXPORT VOLUME DROPPED 5.13% M-O-M
COALspot.com: Indonesia, one of the world's largest coal producer and the global leading multi grade coal exporter shipped around $1.65* ...
Thursday, 18 September 14
PANAMAX : US GULF/CHINA FRONTHAUL ARE NOW PAYING TYPICALLY 14.5K + 450K BB - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
We still see a firming tendency in the Atlantic and it is still ECSA and USG leading on. USG/Cont now up in about USD 17/18k for a Smax whi ...
Thursday, 18 September 14
ELECTRONIC BILLS OF LADING: A GUIDE TO PAPERLESS TRADING WHICH HAS TAKEN THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY BY STORM
Bimco has recently developed and published a charter party clause that specifically addresses the use of electronic bills of lading. Increasing use ...
Wednesday, 17 September 14
PANAMAX: LIMITED INTEREST IN BOTH BASINS; RISING TONNAGE - INTERMODAL
With the week starting off at a fast pace and with the positive momentum from the previous Friday seemingly sticking around for a bit longer, most ...
Wednesday, 17 September 14
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Since the onslaught of 2013 the rising tide of asset prices had been primarily driven by the increasing freight market conditions and the improving ...
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- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Australian Coal Association
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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