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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 October 14
NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.96 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN SEPTEMBER; UP 5.72%
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1,227.7 wor ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
KING COAL UNDER ATTACK? - EVA TZIMA
With the last quarter of the year being well underway and with no strong signs that the Dry Bulk market could be ready for a big positive reversal, ...
Tuesday, 14 October 14
THE NEW CHINESE TRANSPORTATION TAX LAW: WHAT DOES IT MEAN FOR GREEK SHIPPING? - DELOITTE
China has recently promulgated a new law which imposes tax on profits from freights of inbound routes. The objective of the new tax law titled &ldq ...
Monday, 13 October 14
CHINESE COAL IMPORT TARIFFS YET ANOTHER BLOW TO AUSTRALIAN COAL EXPORTS - TIM BUCKLEY
COALspot.com: China’s unexpected move to reintroduce thermal coal import tariffs of 6% will have a materially negative impact on the viabilit ...
Monday, 13 October 14
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FOR Q1' 2015 DELIVERY CLOSED AT US$ 54.92, SGX DATA SHOWS
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for delivery Q4' 2014 decreased US$ 0.80 (-1.46%) month over month and US$ 0.52 (-0.95%) week over ...
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- Planning Commission, India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The University of Queensland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
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