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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 24 November 14
CHOPPY WATERS IN DRY BULK - SGX
COALspot.com: Dry bulk freight rates have experienced a sharp rise in volatility in recent weeks as bulk commodity supply has ramped up, said SGX i ...
Monday, 24 November 14
Q1 2015 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 52.73
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery closed at US$ 52.73 on 21 November after losing US$ 0.40 (-0.75%) month ove ...
Monday, 24 November 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL: Q2' 15 COAL SWAPS CLOSED LOWER COMPARED TO Q1' 15 SWAPS
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased US$ 0.63 (-0.99%) month over month and US$ 0.12 (-0.19%) da ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
SPOT FREIGHT RATES IMPROVED SLIGHTLY OVER PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was up 5.41 pct week on week and closed at 1,324 points on Friday. All the segments were up this week except Panamax index.&n ...
Sunday, 23 November 14
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS TO DROP BY 11% IN 2014 - ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: Italy’s steam coal imports expected to drop to 16 million tons in 2014 (-11% compared to 2013); coking coal imports to plunge t ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
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- Planning Commission, India
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Romanian Commodities Exchange
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
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- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
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- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
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- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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