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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 15 December 14
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP LOST $3.37 M-O-M
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery has decreased by US$ 3,37 (-5.33%) month over month and US$ 1.58 (-2.57%) ...
Monday, 15 December 14
Q1' 15 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP CLOSED AT $ 51.45 ON 12 DEC
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2015 delivery lost US$ 1.45 per MT (-2.74%) closed at US$ 51.45 on 12 December month over ...
Sunday, 14 December 14
FREIGHT RATES ARE EXPECTED TO BE SOFT NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), a measure of commodity-shipping costs, fell 12.12 pct to 863 points week ending 12 December 2014.
Th ...
Friday, 12 December 14
LIMITED TRADING AND AN OVERSUPPLY OF TONNAGE PUSHED HANDY SIZE SHIPS TO DOWN IN USG
Handy
We have seen the TA spot market come down this week lead by limited trading and an oversupply of tonnage in the USG, Fearnleys said in its ...
Friday, 12 December 14
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION UP 3.4% W/E DECEMBER 6
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 19.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
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- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
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- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PTC India Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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