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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 11 January 15
BDI DECLINED 8% ON WEEK; BCI LOST 31%
COALspot.com: The BDI continued its decline in the first week of this year or lost 8 pct week over week. The BDI was closed at 709 points whi ...
Friday, 09 January 15
U.S. EASTERN SPOT STEAM COAL PRICES FELL IN 2014; ROSE IN WEST - EIA
U.S. Eastern spot steam coal prices declined in 2014 compared to 2013 levels because of a decline in steam coal exports.
According to U.S. Ene ...
Friday, 09 January 15
WEEKLY U.S. COAL PRODUCTION UP AN ESTIMATED 2.2% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.6 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 08 January 15
INDONESIA PRESSES ON WITH HIGHER COAL ROYALTY FEE TO BOOST STATE REVENUE - JG
The Indonesian government is pressing on with its plan to raise the royalty charged to coal miners in order to increase state revenue, but the move ...
Wednesday, 07 January 15
FUEL EFFICIENT SHIPS MAKE LESS SENSE IN LOWER BUNKER PRICE MARKET, BUT FUEL COSTS ARE BOUND TO RISE AGAIN
The shipping industry entered 2015 on mixed emotions, as a relatively buoyant tanker market is met by a rather lackluster dry bulk market. Still, a ...
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- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PTC India Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
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