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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 22 May 15
U.S WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION STAYS FLAT AT 16 MMST
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.0 million short ...
Thursday, 21 May 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE ACHIEVED ITS BEST EVER TOTAL COAL EXPORT TURNOVER OF 159 MILLION TONS IN 2014
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $900 million ...
Thursday, 21 May 15
ATLANTIC PANAMAX MARKET STARTED TO IMPROVE SLOWLY - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The Dry Bulk market closed off the week on the green last week, purely on the back of improved Capesize performance, while the rest o ...
Wednesday, 20 May 15
LOWER PRICES SEEN IN NEWBUILDING MARKET ON LOW DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Cash-rich ship owners, or at least, owners with substantial access to financing will be among the prime candidates, who will reap the benefits of t ...
Wednesday, 20 May 15
TANKER MARKET INSIGHT - JOHN N. COTZIAS
Since Early October 2014 the tanker market has been experiencing a very positive momentum and has continued its strong performance so far in 2015. ...
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
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