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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 04 June 15
DRY BULK MARKET FAILED TO OFFER ANY POSITIVE SURPRISES - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: This has been another week that the Dry Bulk market failed to offer any positive surprises, while the BDI, which is still faring belo ...
Wednesday, 03 June 15
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS
For some time now the Dry Bulk market has been severely affected by China’s slowing GDP growth rate that occurs in the background of increase ...
Tuesday, 02 June 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL Q3 SWAP ADVANCED 1.73% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q3 2015 gains month on month and lost week over week, this past week.
The Q3 swap was climbed ...
Tuesday, 02 June 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS; Q3'15 CLOSED HIGHER THAN Q1'16
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q3' 2015 up month over month and week over week.
The Q3 swap was up US$ 0.80 (1 ...
Monday, 01 June 15
35,000 MW POWER PLANTS TO BOOST COAL CONSUMPTION - JP
The government’s program to develop 35,000 megawatt (MW) power plants will increase domestic coal consumption, which currently stands at arou ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
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