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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Monday, 15 June 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP: ROSE M-O-M; DECLINED W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q3’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.43 (2.82%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap is a ...
Sunday, 14 June 15
THE FREIGHT MARKET FINISHED THE WEEK UP COMPARED TO LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The freight market finished the week up compared to last week. All the segments except for Cape index were up. Cape segment was ...
Friday, 12 June 15
EXPECTATIONS IN REGARDS TO THE SUMMER SEASON VARY ACROSS THE MARKET - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market closed off last slightly up last week, with the BDI re-gaining the 600 points level, while the driving force behind the increas ...
Friday, 12 June 15
U.S. PRODUCED 15.1 MMST OF COAL THIS PAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the second largest coal producer in the world has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.1 million short ...
Thursday, 11 June 15
IS COAL INDUSTRY GOING TO HIT A BRICK WALL?
COALspot.com - The Director General of Mineral and Coal of Indonesia revised down Indonesian coal benchmark price once again to US$ 59.59 per MT fo ...
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- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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