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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 03 August 15
NEWCASTLE COAL SWAPS DECLINE FURTHER THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery down $ 1.92 per MT (-4.22%) month over month to US$ 43.58 per mt. The swap ...
Monday, 03 August 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS SLIDE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.64 (3.14%) per MT month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 02 August 15
CAPESIZE RATES PUSH BDI UPWARD
COALspot.com: The freight market was buoyant this week as BDI rose 4.14 pct to 1131 points. The cape index was also increased 16.50 pct 2209 points ...
Saturday, 01 August 15
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS ITS MOMENTUM, AS OUTLOOK IMPROVES - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Although conditions remain more than challenging, especially from an economic point of view (aka China’s stock worries), the dry bulk market ...
Friday, 31 July 15
CAPE'S PAPER MARKET REMAINS FIRM - INTERMODAL
COALspot.com: The positive sentiment that the Dry Bulk market has been enjoying as of the previous month, was carried through last week as well, bu ...
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- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Marubeni Corporation - India
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- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Planning Commission, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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