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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 23 August 15
SHIPPING FREIGHT RATES FALL SHARPLY ON EXCESS SUPPLY AND LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: The BDI continued to soften and was down 5.78 pct and falls back below 1000 points this week.
The cape Index lost 17.25 per cent ...
Friday, 21 August 15
U.S. YEAR-TO-DATE COAL PRODUCTION VOLUME FALLS 8.7% Y-O-Y
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 18.3 million shor ...
Friday, 21 August 15
GLOBALCOAL TO LAUNCH ONLINE TRADING OF PHYSICAL MET COAL ON 13 OCTOBER
On 13 October 2015, globalCOAL will launch an online platform for the physical procurement and trade of high quality hard coking coal delivered FOB ...
Thursday, 20 August 15
COAL PRICES FALL TO 12-YEAR LOWS AS CHINA, INDIA JOIN DEMAND SLOWDOWN - REUTERS
Coal futures have fallen to 12-year lows, hit by soaring production and a slowdown in global buying, including from India and China which until rec ...
Wednesday, 19 August 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS CONTINUE FLAT TREND LINE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery 4Q 2015 declined month on month and flat week over week, this past week.
The 4Q swap was decli ...
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- White Energy Company Limited
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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