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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 03 November 15
EU OIL MAJORS FACE FURTHER EARNINGS DECLINE IN Q415 - FITCH RATINGS
The sharp drop in major European oil companies' third-quarter profits is likely to be extended in the fourth quarter as refining margins, which ...
Monday, 02 November 15
DESPITE CHALLENGING MARKET CONDITIONS, ADARO LOWERS COSTS, DEBT AND DELIVERS STRONG FREE CASH FLOW
COALspot.com: Despite challenging market conditions, Adaro lowers costs, lowers debt and delivers strong free cash flow.
The Indonesia’s ...
Monday, 02 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS CLOSED ON A WEAK NOTE
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for 4Q’ 2015 delivery declined US$ 1.81(3.71 %) per ton month over month.
A commodity swap ...
Sunday, 01 November 15
THE FREIGHT MARKET SENTIMENT REMAINS WEAK
This week’s freight market sentiment remains weak compared to last week.
The Baltic Dry Index (BDI), an economic indicator issued daily ...
Saturday, 31 October 15
ADARO ENERGY'S CORE EARNINGS DECLINE 21 PER CENT FOR THE NINE MONTHS PERIOD TO SEPTEMBER 2015
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy's core earnings decline 21% to US$228 Million for first 9months of this year compared to the same period last year. ...
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- Indika Energy - Indonesia
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
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- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
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- Minerals Council of Australia
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- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
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- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
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- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
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- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
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