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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 22 November 15
INDIA COULD PROVIDE SILVER LINING FOR SHIPPING INDUSTRY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The rise of India as a global player in the shipping market could be just a couple of years away, as the country has the potential to become a seco ...
Friday, 20 November 15
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION FOR THE WEEK ENDING NOVEMBER '14; NO CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 16.5 million shor ...
Friday, 20 November 15
NO IMPROVEMENT SEEN IN NEAR-TERM COAL DEMAND; SWAPS CLOSE LOWER
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swap for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and flat on week over week. Price of coal seen no improvements this ...
Friday, 20 November 15
CHANGING CRUDE SUPPLY TRENDS MAY HELP EUROPEAN REFINERS - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Changes in global oil supply trends, including high Russian production, the expected renewal of Iranian heavy crude exports and the p ...
Thursday, 19 November 15
CHINA STEEL PRODUCTION CAPACITY TO PEAK IN 2016 - FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings today says that China's steel production capacity is likely to peak in 2016, with capacity elimination over the nex ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PTC India Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
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