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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 06 December 15
DESPITE TEMPTING NEWBUILDING PRICES, CONTRACTING IN DRY BULK REMAINS LOW - BIMCO
The current newbuilding prices for dry bulk ships has dropped so much that they just passed the lows of 2012 heading downwards and are now at the l ...
Friday, 04 December 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAPS ARE ALMOST FLAT OVER WEAK DEMAND
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q1 2016 declined month on month and rose slightly week over week. Coal prices seen very margi ...
Friday, 04 December 15
COAL PRODUCTION IN THE U.S. FOR W/E NOVEMBER 28TH FELL SLIGHTLY FROM THE PREVIOUS WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world’s second largest coal producer has produced approximately totaled an estimated 15.0 million shor ...
Friday, 04 December 15
MINING OUTLOOK WEAKENS FURTHER ON FALLING CHINESE DEMAND - FITCH
COALspot.com: Fitch Ratings' outlook for the global mining sector in 2016 is firmly negative, reflecting our view that Chinese demand will cont ...
Thursday, 03 December 15
DRY BULK: THERMAL COAL LOWER USAGE UNDER A POTENTIAL NEW CLIMATE DEAL WILL ADVERSELY IMPACT THE MARKET'S RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
In direct contrast to the tanker market, the dry bulk one has seen demand for key commodities, such a coal, dwindling down over the course of the p ...
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- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- VISA Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Planning Commission, India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
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