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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 February 16
DRY BULK MARKET CONTINUES TO BE UNDER PRESSURE - INTERMODAL
The Dry Bulk market continues to be under pressure, with the BDI remaining in search of even the slightest support, which seems to be delaying more ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
RECORD EXPORTS THROUGH SOUTH AFRICA'S RICHARDS BAY COAL TERMINAL MADE AT EXPENSE OF SMALLER RIVALS, IHS SAYS
Five percent increase in coal exports through South Africa’s dominant Richards Bay Coal Terminal in 2015 unlikely to accelerate country&rsquo ...
Tuesday, 02 February 16
SETTING ASIDE, STRIKING OUT AND APPEALS TO THE COURT OF APPEAL IN SHIP ARRESTS - RAJAH & TANN ASIA LLP
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The Singapore Court of Appeal once again has had to grapple with ship arrest, setting aside and appeals to the Court unde ...
Monday, 01 February 16
DRY BULK SUFFERS FROM POSEIDON'S POTENT PRONGS - CLARKSONS
It has been a grim start to 2016 for the bulkcarrier market, with the Baltic Dry Index sliding to new record lows on almost every day of the year s ...
Monday, 01 February 16
INDONESIA'S SECOND LARGEST COAL MINER ADARO ENERGY HAS PRODUCED 51.46 MT IN 2015; 8% LOWER COMPARED TO FY14
COALspot.com: Adaro Energy, the Indonesia’s second largest coal producer by volume has produced 51.46 Mt in 2015, 8% lower compared to ...
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- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
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