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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 11 April 16
ON THE TIGHTROPE, IT CAN BE HARD TO KEEP YOUR BALANCE.... - CLARKSONS
Today’s headlines often point towards the impact of the demand side on the state of health of the shipping markets. But despite the fact that ...
Monday, 11 April 16
WEEKLY CS (I) COAL INDEX FOR 5700 GAR COAL UP 0.03 CENTS, OR ABOUT 0.06 PERCENT, TO $48.21 A TON
COALspot.com: Average 5000 GAR coal index of Indonesian origin fell 0.15 percent week over week to averaging $38.82 per ton on this past Friday, ac ...
Monday, 11 April 16
COAL IS NOT THE ENEMY TO FIGHT - ANDREA CLAVARINO, ASSOCARBONI
COALspot.com: “Coal is not the enemy to fight and electricity production from coal has an environmental impact in its lifecycle similar to na ...
Monday, 11 April 16
FORTY INDIAN COAL IMPORTERS UNDER THE DRI SCANNER FOR OVER-INVOICING : HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The Finance Ministry and the Directorate of Revenue Intelligence (DRI) of India are said to have stepped up investigations into the alleged over-in ...
Monday, 11 April 16
BDI ROSE TO ITS HIGHEST LEVEL IN FOUR MONTHS
COALspot.com: The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk commodities continued to rose this week.
The freight market was ...
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- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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