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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 November 16
CAPESIZE: BRAZIL/CHINA RATES MOVED TO THE $11 PMT LEVEL; WEST AUSTRALIA/CHINA ROUTE MOVED UP CLOSE TO MID $5 PMT LEVEL - FEARNLEYS
Supramax
In the Atlantic we see a bit more activity than in the eastern hemisphere, says Fearnleys in its latest weekly report. Fhauls via Black ...
Wednesday, 02 November 16
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT
A week before the U.S. presidential election, everyone is eager to see the socio-political effects that the result of these elections will have. As ...
Wednesday, 02 November 16
SHIP OPERATING COSTS ARE EXPECTED TO RISE IN BOTH 2016 AND 2017 - MOORE STEPHENS
Vessel operating costs are expected to rise in both 2016 and 2017. Repairs and maintenance and spares are the cost categories which are likely to i ...
Tuesday, 01 November 16
PANAMAX : A FAIR AMOUNT OF SIDEWAYS SHIPPING IN RATES - ALLIED SHIPPING
Capesize
A very sluggish start to the week, with rates dropping considerably as all optimism seems to have evaporated over the weekend. According ...
Tuesday, 01 November 16
IMPROVEMENT ON THE DEMAND SIDE ONLY BUT THE SUPPLY SIDE IS WORSE OFF - BIMCO
Back in May, BIMCO disclosed a projected “road to recovery” for the dry bulk shipping industry. The main message back then on what the ...
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- Australian Coal Association
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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