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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 03 February 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION DECLINED 3.9% W/W; ROSE 17.7% Y/Y
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 16.1 million short ton ...
Friday, 03 February 17
US - EXECUTIVE ORDER ON IMMIGRATION AFFECTS VESSEL CREWS - GARD
From 27 January 2017, crew members carrying Iraqi, Syrian, Sudanese, Iranian, Somalian, Libyan or Yemeni passports are temporarily barred from ente ...
Wednesday, 01 February 17
MARKET INSIGHT - PANOS TSILINGIRIS
The recent placement of LOIs for 208kdwt Newcastlemax Newbuildings at $38.5m at Private Chinese Yard identifies with the modern history low for dry ...
Tuesday, 31 January 17
A CASE OF NEW YEAR BLUES FOR THE FAR EAST? - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Unlike the typical lull in the market that we note during the period just prior to the Chinese New Year, 2017 has proved to be fairly m ...
Monday, 30 January 17
DUE TO LUNAR YEAR HOLIDAYS, THE FREIGHT MARKET STAYED WEAK
COALspot.com: Due to Lunar year holidays and celebration, the Freight market was down in all segments this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tra ...
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- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
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