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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 10 March 17
THE 5TH PHILIPPINES POWER AND ELECTRICITY WEEK RETURNS WITH A UNIQUE FOCUS IN 2017
5th Annual Philippines Power & Electricity
18-21 July 2017
Solaire Resort & Casino,Manila, Philippines
http://www.philippinespowe ...
Thursday, 09 March 17
INDONESIAN COAL BENCHMARK PRICE DROPPED FOR A THIRD STRAIGHT MONTH IN MARCH, GOVERNMENT DATA SHOWED
COALspot.com: Indonesian government declared coal benchmark price dropped for a fourth straight month in March, government data showed. The ...
Wednesday, 08 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET TODAY PROVIDES MUCH MORE CONFIDENCE COMPARED TO LAST YEAR - TIMOS PAPADIMITRIOU
So what's all the fuss about? During the past five months SnP activity has being surging exponentially in the dry bulk sector. Buyers are looki ...
Monday, 06 March 17
THE FREIGHT MARKET WAS CONTINUING TO FIRM UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The Freight market was continuing to firm up this past week.
The Baltic Exchange, tracking rates for ships carrying dry bulk com ...
Friday, 03 March 17
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ESTIMATED AT 15.7 MMST; DECLINE 6.7% W/W - EIA
COALspot.com – U.S., the world’s second largest coal producers have produced approximately totalled an estimated 15.7 million short ton ...
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- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
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