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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 04 November 22
CHINA EXPANDS COAL TERM CONTRACTS TO ALL MINES TO STABILIZE MARKET - REUTERS
China has expanded long-term thermal coal supply contracts for 2023 to all coal mines and asked power utilities to source more of their demand thro ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
HANDYSIZE VALUES MOVING UP IN OCTOBER, WHILE LNG VALUES SKYROCKET - VESSELSVALUE
Handysize values have increased this month across most ages, following a period of decline. Values for generic 10 year old Handysizes have moved up ...
Thursday, 03 November 22
EUROPEAN GAS SUPPLY SURPLUS, NOVEMBER HBA DOWN TO US$ 308.2 PER TON - ESDM
European gas supply conditions have a major influence in determining fluctuations in the Reference Coal Price (HBA). The November 2022 HBA recorded ...
Wednesday, 02 November 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Only five weeks before western sanctions’ full effect, uncertainty over energy has markets and governments on the edge. What was initially th ...
Tuesday, 01 November 22
CHINA COAL TRADE DISRUPTED BY COVID OUTBREAKS AS WINTER LOOMS - REUTERS
China’s strict COVID-19 policy is constraining coal supplies and pushing up prices, industry officials and traders say, just weeks before the ...
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- Parliament of New Zealand
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
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- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
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- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
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- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
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- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
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- Australian Coal Association
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
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- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
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- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
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- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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