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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 24 July 18
TANKER MARKET : IN TERMS OF TRADE, THE STEPS THAT WERE SLOWLY BEING TAKEN BY OPEC AND RUSSIA - GEORGE LAZARIDIS
Despite the fact that the tanker market still seems to be in the midst of a perfect storm, there are still strong indicators that better sailing da ...
Thursday, 19 July 18
VINACOMIN PRODUCES OVER 20 MLN TONNES OF RAW COAL FROM YEAR'S START - VNA
The Vietnam National Coal and Mineral Industries Group (Vinacomin) has produced over 20 million tonnes of raw coal and 19.3 million of clean coal f ...
Wednesday, 18 July 18
INDONESIA TO AUCTION 16 MINING SITES - JP
Indonesia will soon auction 16 mining sites as no proposal submissions have been submitted by state-owned enterprises (BUMN) and regional administr ...
Wednesday, 18 July 18
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - VASILIS MOIRIS
The new regulations for Chinese flag restricting import of Tier I ships have dominated market sentiment during the past days as buyers have been tr ...
Thursday, 12 July 18
SUPRAMAX: INDO/CHINA COAL RV IS BEING FIXED AROUND USD 10500 BSS SINGAPORE - FEARNLEYS
Capesize
Cape market continue to be extremely volatile says Fearnleys in its latst weekly report.
The further noted that, last week ended wi ...
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- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The University of Queensland
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
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