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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 06 February 19
THE BDI HAS EASED BACK TO 645 BP, ITS LOWEST LEVEL SINCE AUGUST 2016 - ALLIED
The dry bulk sector is in the doldrums, with most market participants seemingly left utterly perplexed, and simultaneously, in pursuit of any posit ...
Monday, 04 February 19
COAL STILL IN HIGH DEMAND GLOBALLY
Although the world is switching to renewable energy there is still a big demand for coal around the globe.
This is according to Cany ...
Friday, 01 February 19
ULTRAMAX WAS FIXED DELIVERY KALIMANTAN, FOR TRIP TO WEST COAST INDIA AT $7,000 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Vale dam tragedy sparked a sharp fall in rates across all regions even where tonnage remained tight. The potential loss of product ...
Friday, 01 February 19
SEMBCORP SELECTS NORDEN FOR LONG-TERM INDIAN CONTRACT
NORDEN A/S has signed a 10-year Panamax Contract of Affreightment (COA) with Indian utility firm Sembcorp Energy India Ltd.
From 1 A ...
Tuesday, 29 January 19
HARD COAL BEARS THE BRUNT OF THE RECOMMENDATIONS OF THE COMMISSION GROWTH STRUCTURAL CHANGE AND EMPLOYMENT - VDKI
Press Release: Hard coal bears the brunt of the recommendations of the Commission Growth Structural change and employment.
In its fi ...
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- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
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