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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 30 November 19
PANAMAX: LEVELS IMPROVED IN THE PACIFIC MARKET TOO WITH $11,000 BEING CONCLUDED ON AN 81,000DWT SHIP FOR AN INDONESIA TO CHINA COAL TRIP - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The market has been well supported over the past week, led primarily by the Atlantic Basin. After bottoming last week, sentiment was s ...
Friday, 29 November 19
FITCHRATINGS MAINTAINS NEGATIVE 2020 OUTLOOK ON SHIPPING, AS TIGHTER SUPPLY HELPS, BUT SOFTER DEMAND DRAGS
Fitch’s Sector Outlook: Negative
We maintain a negative sector outlook for global shipping because of the forecast slowdown of ...
Friday, 29 November 19
INDONESIA PRODUCES 390 MLN TONNES OF COAL IN JAN-SEPT: MINISTER - REUTERS
Indonesia’s production of coal for the January-September period was 390 million tonnes, Energy and Mineral Resources Minister Arifin Tasrif s ...
Wednesday, 27 November 19
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As the end of the fourth quarter is approaching, one could say that the wet market has maintained the strong pace observed during the third qu ...
Tuesday, 26 November 19
PREPARATIONS INTENSIFY AS 1 JANUARY 2020 GLOBAL CUT IN SULPHUR IN SHIP'S FUEL OIL LOOMS: IMO
“IMO 2020” requirements for ships to cut sulphur oxide emissions enter into effect in just over one month’s time. This will signi ...
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- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- The University of Queensland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
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