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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 15 January 20
ASIA PACIFIC GAS AND LNG - 6 THEMES TO WATCH IN 2020 - WOOD MACKENZIE
NEWS RELEASE
Wood Mackenzie has identified six themes that will impact Asia Pacific’s gas and LNG markets in 2020
Asian LNG spot pr ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
PREDICTIONS FOR 2020: 'SLOWBALISATION" IS THE NEW GLOBALISATION - PWC
Projecting what the future holds is an important exercise for businesses looking to plan ahead. Below we present a summary of some of the themes we ...
Wednesday, 15 January 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INERMODAL
Happy New Year and all the best for IMO 2020 !!
The early days of IMO 2020 coming into force have certainly had an impact on the indus ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
SOLAS AMENDMENTS ENTERING INTO FORCE 1 JANUARY 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
While the latest amendments to MARPOL annex VI which entered into force on 1 January 2020 limiting the SOx emissions from ships has been the centre ...
Tuesday, 14 January 20
MABUX: BUNKER MARKET THIS MORNING, JAN.14
MABUX World Bunker Index (consists of a range of prices for 380 HSFO, 180 HSFO and MGO (Gasoil) in the main world hubs) changed insignificant and i ...
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- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- White Energy Company Limited
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
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