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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 01 May 20
LUKOIL SHARES LUBRICANT EXPERIENCE AFTER FIRST 100 DAYS OF OPERATION ON VLSFO
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
After 100 days of VLSFO operation, LUKOIL Marine Lubricants is sharing recent experience on VLSFO operation with NAVIGO M ...
Wednesday, 29 April 20
OIL CLOSES IN ON PEAK OVERSUPPLY - WOOD MACKENZIE
Are we now deep in the abyss? Up to our necks in it, if the oil price is any guide. Brent has now tested sub-US$20/bbl in this downturn and WTI sub ...
Monday, 27 April 20
INCIDENT INVESTIGATION: SEARCH FOR THE CAUSE, NOT THE VILLAIN - GARD
Incident investigations often conclude with placing the blame for an incident on the crew. Causes of the incidents are usually identified as proced ...
Monday, 27 April 20
A 58,000DWT VESSEL WAS FIXED DELIVERY SINGAPORE TRIP VIA INDONESIA, RE-DELIVERY WC INDIA, AT $4,500 - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The tide turned this week for the Capesize market, as voyage rates registered dramatically falling fuel costs. This was led primarily ...
Sunday, 26 April 20
STRONGER BUNKER PRICES FAIL TO RALLY FREIGHT MARKET - FIS
VLSFO bunker prices rebounded by $22.50 to $229/mt in the port of Singapore but failed to turn around the spot freight market.
Some ...
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- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- PTC India Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
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