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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 11 June 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Wednesday, 10 June 20
OPEC+ CUTS EXTENSION TO ACCELERATE MARKET REBALANCING - FITCH RATINGS
Fitch Ratings-London-08 June 2020: The OPEC+ agreement to extend by one month record oil production cuts should accelerate market rebalancing, Fitc ...
Wednesday, 10 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
In contrast to the economic projections of the past two years for the first half of 2020, the oil & gas industry and those involved in it faced ...
Wednesday, 10 June 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.19 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 123.71 points Monday, down 0.19 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Tuesday, 09 June 20
BUNKER SUPPLY CONTRACTS - KEY CONSIDERATIONS FOR THE BUYER - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Regardless of whether a buyer purchases fuel directly from physical suppliers or via brokers or traders and whether sale ...
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- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
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