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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 20 June 20
NO ESCAPING GLOBAL TRADE SLUMP - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Those hoping for a decent recovery in trade in the second half of the year should prepare for disappointment.
New data from the Unit ...
Friday, 19 June 20
INDIA'S COAL CONSUMPTION GROWTH IN 2019 SLOWEST SINCE 2001: BP STATS REVIEW - HINDU BUSINESS LINE
Growth in global energy markets slowed in 2019 in line with weaker economic growth, according to the bp Statistical Review of World Energy 2020. Th ...
Friday, 19 June 20
KOWEPO TO IMPORT 1,050,000 MT OF MIN 5300 NCV COAL FOR THREE YEARS
COALspot.com: Korera Western Power Co., Ltd. (KOWEPO) has issued an International tender for Total 1,050k MT Min.5,300 kcal/kg NCV coal for t ...
Thursday, 18 June 20
INDIA: GOVT'S PLAN TO CUT COAL IMPORT GOES FOR A TOSS AS FY20 BREAKS LOGISTICS CHAIN; LOCAL OUTPUT STAGNANT - FINANCIAL EXPRESS
Weak logistics support and disrupted supply chain towards the end of the last financial year 2019-20 hit the government’s plan to cut coal im ...
Thursday, 18 June 20
INDIA: THERMAL PLANTS TO OPERATE BELOW 53% CAPACITY IN FY21 AS POWER DEMAND DIPS - BUSINESS STANDARD
The Plant Load Factor (PLF) of thermal power stations across the country is projected to dip below 53 per cent in this fiscal. Muted power demand f ...
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- GMR Energy Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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