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Wednesday, 17 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 After experiencing record earnings during the first half of the year, the focus of headlines concerning the tanker market has shifted from the developments regarding the pandemic outbreak and geopolitical tensions to the challenges that the sector is now facing. The considerable slowdown in momentum is evident on rates across the board, with expectations for the remainder of the year being gloomy so far.
During the past months, the steep drop in oil products demand caused by COVID-19 had been overshadowed by the developments on oil supply and prices. When Russia and Saudi Arabia, two of the biggest oil producing countries, engaged in a price war back in April, they flooded the market with millions of extra barrels each day, pushing prices to unprecedented lows. At the same time, demand was collapsing. Contango markets were shaped and encouraged traders to buy and store oil on shore and on vessels like never before. Tonnage availability was tight and freight rates climbed to record levels. Indicatively, VLCC earnings reached as much as USD 280,000 per day during April, whereas the ‘clean’ products trade of LR2 and LR1 ships reached about USD 170,000 per day and USD 115,000 per day respectively.
However, since then, the market woke up to reality of poor demand for products globally, while at the same time the contango play is no longer attractive with oil prices having moved up to much healthier levels. More and more vessels used as storage are now entering the market, when at the same time refineries around the world are cutting production in order to adjust to poor demand. The effects on the freight market are already evident. At the time of this writing, VLCCs are earning USD 40-50,000 per day, LR2s about USD 20,000 per day and LR1s as low as USD 10,000 per day.
Taking into account that oil products account for about 60% of the transportation demand and that many parts of the world are still under lockdown and face travel restrictions, the outlook for the rest of the year is rather challenging. The Energy Information Administration (EIA) estimates that global oil demand will be about 8m bpd lower in 2020 than last year. Major products’ demand such as gasoline and jet fuel are down about 17% and 60% respectively since the beginning of the year and the recovery appears to be slow. In shipping terms, this would be more than 6% decrease in demand for product tankers this year, while the fleet growth in the sector is expected to be about 0.7%.
It seems that for as long as the economic impact from the pandemic keeps unravelling, global demand will remain restricted and uncertainty will keep prevailing in the tanker market, adding more pressure to freight rates as a result.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 30 September 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Spot rates for Capesize bulk carriers received a significant boost last week, however, there are certain reservations in the market regarding the p ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.73 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 125.91 points Monday, up 0.73 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
SHIPPING MARKET - ALLIED
Here we are, just a short breath before the final quarter of the year, and many are now debating to what extent we can really expect a firm dry bul ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
INDONESIAN COAL COMPANIES' EARNINGS TO WEAKEN IN 2H20 - FITCH RATINGS
Rated Indonesian coal miners and contractors will have weaker operating and financial performances in the second half of 2020 than in the first, sa ...
Tuesday, 29 September 20
RUSSIA'S COAL PRODUCTION TO DROP BY 10.5% IN 2020, SAYS MINISTRY - TASS
Russia’s Economic Development Ministry projects a 10.5% decrease in coal production in the country in 2020 compared with last year to 395 mln ...
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- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
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