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Wednesday, 10 June 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 In contrast to the economic projections of the past two years for the first half of 2020, the oil & gas industry and those involved in it faced particularly challenging times, with global demand for the commodity crashing in April and dragging oil prices to unprecedented levels as a result.
COVID-19 caused panic in societies, with lockdowns quickly translating to a severe hit to the global economy. Sadly, this epidemic has killed over 393,000 people so far, with over 6,500,000 cases being recorded worldwide, and even today, it continues to spread terror and uncertainty. Hopes are placed on a vaccine being discovered sooner rather than later in order to provide communities with a big relief on a humanitarian level and to eventually restore confidence across the different markets that economies are jump starting again and doing so at full speed ahead.
As far as oil and gas projects from major oil producers are concerned, since the COVID-19 outbreak, delays and cancellations have been announced, while most hydrocarbon projects are expected to be postponed for one up to three years according to reports. Representative examples of this big setback, especially in the short-cycle projects of the African continent, are those of ENI and TOTAL. The two international oil and gas majors, who have the largest presence in Africa, have already cut off around 25-30% of their investment in exploration and production projects in 2020 in an effort to ensure their survival in the long run.
As expected, offshore service providers such as AHTS and PSVs, have been also hit by this crisis and are currently going through soft demand and disappointing freights, with today’s challenges proving even worse compared to those during the 2015-2017 period. Most offshore unit owners have already lowered their offers at very realistic levels in order to survive as long as possible, with no increase in the number of laid up units as a result. However, if this situation continues for several more months without no visible signs of improvement, the lay-up option will be the only alternative in order to limit costs, which is also what happened during the 2015-2017 period.
Even those more optimistic do not believe that anything will change drastically during the remainder of 2020 for the oil & gas industry, in terms of demand and offshore projects. Undoubtedly, we might see later in the year some tender / projects but a lot of competition is expected for these, which means that no particular positive effect on the industry/rates is expected. It will take a while before we can have a more clear view of what’s ahead and we expect the market to keep facing challenges at least in the short-term, while on the positive side, governments around the world, OPEC and its allies and all concerned bodies and organizations seem to be taking serious action in order to support demand and prices.
By Panos Makrinos
Offshore Director
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 08 May 20
THE COLLAPSE OF THE OIL AND BUNKER FUEL MARKETS IN EARLY 2020 - PETER SAND
The sulphur regulation from the International Maritime Organization (IMO) that came into force on 1 January 2020 took the centre stage in the shipp ...
Friday, 08 May 20
LNG DEMAND FACED SEVERAL HEADWINDS IN THE FIRST QUARTER OF 2020 - GASLOG
LNG demand faced several headwinds in the first quarter of 2020 including a warmer than average winter in the northern hemisphere, high inventory l ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
IEEFA UPDATE: THE OUTLOOK FOR THERMAL COAL IN SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA
Seven headwinds are building to sustained growth in coal in Asia
The medium term outlook for thermal coal in Southeast Asia is posit ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
IMO 2020: BUNKER CLAIMS HANDLING GUIDE FOR A NEW DECADE - THE STANDARD CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
IMO 2020 is the term generally used to describe the following regulations under Annex VI of the International Convention ...
Thursday, 07 May 20
CRUDE OIL TANKER EARNINGS DROP 68% IN NINE DAYS - BIMCO
Crude oil tanker earnings have come down sharply in recent weeks with Very Large Crude Carrier (VLCC) earnings from the Middle East Gulf to China d ...
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- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Planning Commission, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
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