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Thursday, 28 May 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Earlier in May, China’s top leaders convened for the annual National People's Congress, following over two months of delays due to the coronavirus outbreak. Chinese Premier Li announced that China would not set a GDP growth target for 2020. This move can be also interpreted as a signal that the government is prepared to accept a low level of growth in 2020.
The second key announcement following the COVID-19 disruption and much to the joy of the dry bulk community, was the infrastructure-focused fiscal stimulus of RMB 4.75trillion (USD670b). This includes increased local government spending quota and special treasury bonds, a key source for infrastructure funding. The government hopes this stimulus will bring growth targets back on track but it will also help with employment and as a result social stability.
China’s stimulus package is, in absolute numbers, larger than its 2008 response but a lot of analysts expected even more as the Chinese economy is significantly larger compared to 12 years ago (meaning that this stimulus is a smaller percentage of GDP) and as the US has already pledged over US$3 trillion into its own economy. And while the two world powers - USA and China - have experienced longstanding friction over trade wars, tensions have risen dramatically amid the pandemic.
On the one hand, representatives from the USA and China keep pledging their continued support for the phase one trade deal, with China just last week announcing a new list of US products eligible to be excluded from retaliatory tariffs. On the other hand, President Trump facing re-election this year and being criticized for his handling of the pandemic, is blaming China for trying to cover up the outbreak. Beijing's officials have urged the US to stop wasting time with the “political virus” and repeated their assertions that China has acted responsibly to safeguard global public health. On a hugely symbolic gesture, when the US banned all flights from many EU countries, China sent medical teams and supplies to countries like Italy and Iran who were at the time at the “eye” of the pandemic.
Globally, as the pandemic and lockdowns continue and the economic effect from the pandemic proves more severe than what was originally estimated, countries around the world are shyly looking at the next day and have now deployed a massive $9 trillion of global fiscal support to help people and companies get through this crisis.
As China started reopening its economy, data from IMF shows that world exports initially recovered across the board. Specifically for oil, the recent export performance is particularly strong but as oil is being stored at sea, the surge in exports is not fully matched by imports. It is quite certain, that when the virus is eventually defeated, China's economic resurgence is going to play a critical role in helping to rebuild the shattered global economy.
By Theodore Ntalakos
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 06 September 24
REBOUND IN OIL DEMAND COULD LIFT MARKET IN LATTER HALF OF 2024 - BIMCO
Supply/demand
Based on a strong second half demand, the supply/balance is forecast to strengthen in 2024 but weaken slightly in 2025 as n ...
Friday, 06 September 24
GLOBAL SEABORNE LNG TRADE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE LAST YEAR - BANCHERO COSTA
Global seaborne LNG trade has continued to increase last year, helped also by the events in Ukraine which forced Europe to diversify away from Russ ...
Wednesday, 28 August 24
SEABORNE COAL IMPORTS INTO INDIA INCREASED BY +9.9% Y-O-Y TO 146.6 MLN T - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace over the past year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels said Banchero Costa Research in its lates ...
Tuesday, 06 August 24
EXERCISE CAUTION WITH AMMONIA SWITCH - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A new study from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) has thrown a spanner into the plan to transition ships from diesel fuel to ammonia ...
Friday, 02 August 24
ENERGY MARKET DEVELOPMENTS: COAL AND NATURAL GAS PRICES REACH RECORD HIGHS - WORLD BANK
The recent surge in natural gas and coal prices has been so swift that the main benchmarks were roughly three times higher in 2022Q2 compared to a ...
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- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Australian Coal Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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