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Friday, 10 April 20
INDIA'S BULKS SUPPLY CHAIN TAKES A HIT DURING LOCKDOWN - WOOD MACKENZIE
 India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Businesses are shut, and the supply chain is disrupted. Industries are either closed or operating at sub-optimal utilisation.
Wood Mackenzie principal analyst Sandeep Kalia weighs in on what this means for the Indian bulks commodities sector:
“The obstruction in the supply chains has hit the secondary steel producers the most, forcing them to either scale down or suspend their operations due to issues with raw materials supply, limited workforce and holding-on inventories, as demand dries up.
“Integrated steel mills, especially with captive raw material supplies, good liquidity and better inventory management, are better placed in the current environment.
“Still, due to limited demand, these integrated mills are also either reducing their capacity utilisation or suspending their operations in entirety as well. We expect Q2 2020 crude steel production to decline by 19% or 5 million tonnes (Mt) year-on-year (yoy).
“The production of merchant iron ore miners have been struck due to limited workforce, inter and intra state logistic issues and scaling down or suspension of operations by both integrated and secondary steel mills. Our current base case is changed to 39 Mt iron ore demand in Q2 2020, which is a 7 Mt or 16% decline yoy.
“Overall, we expect most of the domestic iron ore production to meet the demand from the steel industry.
“Domestic metallurgical coal production, which meets 10% of demand, will continue during the country lockdown period as most of it is captive. The greater downside risk is on the import of metallurgical coal, in case of an extended lockdown. In our current base case, we expect met coal imports to decline by 2 Mt or 15% in Q2 2020 yoy due to a decline in coke production, in line with a decrease in hot metal production and a slight drop in demand of coke by consumers other than steel mills.”
On thermal coal, principal analyst Pralabh Bhargava said: “Thermal coal demand should reduce by 25-30% in April and an overall 8% in Q2, assuming a gradual recovery starting 15 April. We forecast thermal coal imports to decline by 10 Mt or 22% yoy in Q2 to a run rate of about 12 Mt per month from a run rate of 15- 16 Mt per month witnessed over the last six months.”
In an extended lockdown scenario till mid-May 2020, Wood Mackenzie expects further downside risk in steel production, iron ore demand, metallurgical and thermal coal imports of 5 Mt, 10 Mt, 5 Mt and 5 Mt respectively in Q2.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Friday, 17 April 20
PANDEMIC TO BRING ASIA'S 2020 GROWTH TO HALT FOR 1ST TIME IN 60 YEARS - IMF: REUTERS
Asia’s economic growth this year will grind to a halt for the first time in 60 years, as the coronavirus crisis takes an “unprecedented ...
Friday, 17 April 20
OPEC BRACES FOR OIL MARKET'S "HISTORIC SHOCK"
OPEC released its much anticipated April monthly report.
Crude Oil Price Movements
Crude oil prices collapsed in March 2020, rec ...
Friday, 17 April 20
SAUDI ARABIA'S MAY 2020 OSPS FOR CRUDE EXPORTS BODE WELL FOR ASIAN REFINERS - WOOD MACKENZIE
On 13 April, Saudi Arabia announced the Official Selling Prices (OSPs) for its May crude oil exports. The new OSPs speak volumes about Saudi Arabia ...
Friday, 17 April 20
SEABORNE COAL PRICES UNDER PRESSURE AS DEMAND SOFTENS IN CHINA, INDIA - CLYDE RUSSELL
Worrying signs are emerging for coal exporters to the world’s biggest markets in Asia, as top buyers China and India move to favour domestic ...
Thursday, 16 April 20
THERMAL POWER SECTOR FACES BLEAK SCENARIO POST-COVID SITUATION - THE HINDU BUSINESS LINE
The centre should take a fresh look at coal-energy value chain as the sector tops the chart on loan defaults.
Covid-19 may have serv ...
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- Deloitte Consulting - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
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