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Monday, 06 April 20
INDIA'S 21-DAY LOCKDOWN - IMPACT ON COMMODITIES? - WOOD MACKENZIE
 India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March, to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
Impact on power and coal demand
Principal analyst Pralabh Bhargava said: “India’s power demand has declined on average 30% year-on-year (yoy) and 25% week-on-week basis on 28 March. Demand from the industrial and commercial sectors are already falling. Load shape is moving to residential from industrial due to teleworking and home-schooling. We expect an average overall power demand decline of 35% until 14 April and a progressive recovery thereafter.
“Coal stocks at power plants and mines reached record highs of 40 million tonnes (Mt) and 60 Mt by 25 March, and many are already rejecting shipments from Coal India. This situation is due to lower thermal coal demand over the last 15 days and robust production in recent months.
“Movement of imported coal will be restricted due to constraints at ports and infrastructure. We expect the Force Majeure announced by port operators to have a limited impact on coal imports, as it is considered an ‘essential’ service.”
Impact on gas and LNG
Senior analyst Vidur Singhal said: “The transport and industrial sectors have been impacted. The average daily gas consumption across sectors stood at around 151 mmcm/d (million cubic metres per day) in 2019. We expect about 18-20% reduction in daily gas demand post lockdown. Also, demand from refineries and fertiliser plants, and anchor gas customers, have reduced in line with their utilisation rates with significant downside risk if the lockdown is extended.
“Gas aggregators are in a tight spot. LNG buyers declared Force Majeure once port operations stopped. Regas terminals were oversupplied heading into the lockdown as all major buyers procured low-priced spot volumes in advance. Even long-term LNG volumes are at risk as demand shrinks.”
Impact on oil products demand and refining
Research analyst Qiaoling Chen said: “We estimate that gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel demand will be down by 25%, 33%, and 13% yoy respectively in the second quarter while fuel oil, refinery gas demand will decline by 8%, 20% respectively at the same time.
“Overall, total demand is expected to decline by 871,000 barrels per day (b/d) (-17%) yoy in April. The negative impact is likely to last through Q2 2020 with most oil products returning to normal growth in the third quarter of this year except for jet fuel demand, which is expected to return to normal growth only in the first quarter of next year.”
On refining, research analyst Kendrick Ng said: “Refiners are reducing runs in response to lower oil products demand and weakness in refining margins. We estimate that the country will process about 800,000 b/d less crude in April, month-on-month basis, resulting in about 17% decline in the utilisation rate.
“Indian PSUs (public sector undertaking) are expected to be hurt the most amid tepid domestic demand, high storage level and lesser access to export markets, especially inland refineries.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Monday, 17 July 23
APPROVED AMMONIA-FUELED CONTAINERSHIP - BENEFITS AND RISKS: REED SMITH
Following the news in Offshore Energy that Korea Maritime Consultants has secured approval in principle from the American Bureau of Shipping for it ...
Friday, 14 July 23
CLEAN COAL USE KEY TO DEEP CUTS IN EMISSIONS, STABLE ELECTRICITY SUPPLY - CHINA DAILY
China must push for the clean use of coal and step up integration of the dirty fuel with carbon capture, utilization and storage to achieve sustain ...
Thursday, 13 July 23
VIETNAM'S COAL EMISSIONS PRIMED FOR SURGE AFTER IMPORTS JUMP - REUTERS
Vietnam’s thermal power emissions are primed for a steep climb this summer after the country’s imports of thermal coal soared to their ...
Monday, 26 June 23
COAL PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION UP IN 2022 - EUROSTAT
In 2022, EU coal production and consumption continued to increase, reaching 349 million tonnes (+5% compared with the previous year) and 454 millio ...
Wednesday, 21 June 23
QATAR STRIKES SECOND BIG LNG SUPPLY DEAL WITH CHINA - REUTERS
Qatar on Tuesday secured its second large gas supply deal with a Chinese state-controlled company in less than a year, putting Asia clearly ahead i ...
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- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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