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Friday, 27 March 20
CHINA'S BULKS: THE SENTIMENT GAP BETWEEN STEEL AND COAL WIDENS - WOOD MACKENZIE
 China seems to be containing its local coronavirus situation, with imported cases now posing the greater threat. While quarantine measures remain tight in cities such as Beijing and Shanghai – China’s busiest points of entry – economic activity is resuming in lower-risk regions.
Market sentiment for steel is optimistic, with production picking up and inventory finally running down. However, the coal market remains gloomy with weak market fundamentals, bringing both thermal and metallurgical coal prices down.
In this article, analysts Nuomin Han, Zhai Yu, Simon Wu, Zhilu Wang and Ti Guo bring you an update from across China’s bulks sector.
Coal supply: import disruptions continue
Domestic coal supply has already returned to normal, but disruptions remain on the import side. Mongolian coal supply took another twist when border crossings didn’t reopen as scheduled on 16 March – precautionary measures were not well prepared amid confirmation of further coronavirus cases in Mongolia. The reopening of border crossings is now rescheduled for 1 April.
Thermal coal: weak demand adds to an unfavourable outlook
The Qinhuangdao 5,500 price has slid further in the past week, due to weak demand. Daily coal consumption by the six largest gencos in the coastal region remains at 80% of last year’s level. In addition, heating supply in many provinces has ended. The National Bureau of Statistics issued its macroeconomic indicators for the first two months of the year: the slump in figures and the global spread of coronavirus suggest an unfavourable outlook for the coal market.
With no change in the fundamentals, we expect the Qinhuangdao price to keep falling this week.
Metallurgical coal: price pressure won’t ease quickly
While finished steel stockpiles have started to fall, they remain at high levels. As such, coke prices were cut for a fourth time by RMB50/t, despite resistance from coke makers. Some coking plants in northwest China have reported losses after prices have quickly declined by RMB200/t in recent weeks.
Stagnant coke demand has enhanced the fall in coking coal prices in Shanxi, with Liulin #4 dropping RMB70/t in the week and Anze low-sulphur premium HCC falling by RMB110/t.
The price arbitrage between domestic and imported coking coal has narrowed under the weak demand picture, further eroding the price advantage of imported coking coal and ramping up pressure on prices.
We expect downstream industries to continue to recover in the coming weeks, helping steel demand to pick up. However, the pressure on coking coal prices is unlikely to be relieved quickly, as the destocking of steel will take some time. As such, prices will remain weak for a short while.
Steel and iron ore: as downstream operations resumed, inventory started to fall
Just as the market expected, finished steel inventory started to fall as more stable downstream operations resumed. Steel production is also picking up, as more electric arc furnace steelmakers resume operations on improved margin conditions. Rebar spot and futures are particularly firm among other commodities that have been freefalling amid the global financial shock.
Market sentiment shows strong confidence in China’s property sector and the government’s efforts to leverage the economy through infrastructure. Most Chinese-made rebar is consumed domestically. However, oversupply remains a risk – apart from the high finished steel inventory, we shouldn’t forget semi-finished, which isn’t included in the inventory statistics. Official data shows production of crude steel grew 3.1% year-on-year in January and February, but finished steel production dropped 3.4%.
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Tuesday, 24 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX DOWN 0.28 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 132.74 points Monday, down 0.28 percent week on week.
The index, released by Chi ...
Monday, 23 March 20
CHARTERPARTY REQUIREMENTS TO NOTIFY CLAIMS - TAKE CARE! - WFW
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Voyage charterparties frequently require the owner to notify any claim with supporting documents within a relatively shor ...
Monday, 23 March 20
COAL INDIA LIMITED'S ONE-DAY OUTPUT PEAKS AT 3.17 MT - THE HINDU
Coal India Limited (CIL) output peaked at a new high of 3.17 million tonnes (MT) on March 20, overtaking the 3.14 MT production recorded on March 2 ...
Monday, 23 March 20
KOMIPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.45 MILLION TONS OF COAL FOR JUNE & JULY 2020 LOADING
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co.,Ltd (KOMIPO), on behalf of five Korean Gencos, has issued an international tender for total 1,450,000 MT (&pl ...
Saturday, 21 March 20
PANAMAX: 82,000DWT SHIP AGREED $4,250 FOR A COAL TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY SOUTH CHINA - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market made some headway this past week despite being buffeted by the global pandemic storm. With the market in a constan ...
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- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
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