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Wednesday, 11 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 On the 4th of September the Baltic Dry Index marked its highest level for 2019, reaching 2,518 points, while the rest of the dry indices also recorded year-high levels that week with the daily average for Capesize reaching $38,014, for Panamax 76k $ 18,116 and for Supramax $15,233.
Healthy earnings like that was exactly what was needed as the 1st half of 2019 was really bad but the SnP market failed to see increased interest for inspections of available ships and activity was kept rather low compared to what someone would expect given the spot rates at the time.
Instead of accepting offers below their expectations, most Sellers were thinking that it would be better to keep the ship and fix on period instead. And it was a valid argument since fixing on period really made sense as rates back then could cover opex, bank repayments and still allow for a good profit. As appetite for second-hand tonnage was limited, it failed to ignite competition among prospective Buyers and restricted asset values from appreciating as a result.
So the reason why we didn’t see SnP prices going up was because Buyers were reluctant to become bullish for the long run. The fact that the market was coming from a very bad 1st half of 2019 together with the low levels (far below September’s highs) FFAs for q1 –q2 2020 were indicating, scared off many Buyers and consequently denied premiums on values.
Something that no-one could predict back then was what would the effect of IMO 2020 bunkers regulation would be. The regulation that was enforced on 1st of January drove at some point the price of the new fuel to double the old fuel price (350usd/tone Vs 700usd/ton). This was at a time when the market had already corrected from the highs of September 2019 down to the 976 points (2nd of January 2020) and with the Chinese holidays just around the corner, sentiment for the first quarter of the year was already soft as soon as January kicked off and without the coronavirus dramatic spread news having hit headlines yet at that point.
Capes were the ones affected the most, with the Baltic Capesize Index turning negative for the first time ever, pushing the BDI to the lowest point for 2020 on 10th of February (411 points).
The SnP market inevitably has been affected with relatively few sales reported for ships less than 10 years old. In the Kamsarmax sector, the M/V OLYMPIC GALAXY (81K 2009 Japan)-BWTS fitted) was sold last week for USD 13,5m to Greek buyers, which represents a discount from the USD 15,65m that the M/V KM TOKYO (83K 2010 Japan) fetched in November 2019. Furthermore the M/V MEDI HONG KONG (82K 2006 Japan) was sold to Qatari buyers for USD 9,25m, whereas in September 2019 the M/V YASA NESLIHAN (82K 2005 Japan) was sold for USD 11,5m.
Despite the discounts recorded, there are not so many candidates available for sale at levels showing that Owners are willing to face last dones, with many Sellers anticipating that the market will recover sooner rather than later. Indeed, we have been seeing a positive correction for Panamax/Kamsarmax rates lately, while it remains to be seen if and when the Capesize market, which still witnesses a negative BCI, will recover.
By Costas Hardalis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 25 March 20
CORONAVIRUS CRISIS IS CRUSHING GLOBAL GDP GROWTH - FITCH RATINGS
The coronavirus crisis is crushing global GDP growth according to Fitch Ratings in its latest quarterly “Global Economic Outlook” (GEO) ...
Wednesday, 25 March 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
There is no doubt that the Covid-19 pandemic crisis is a world-shattering event that will change the world as we know it. Societies are facing chal ...
Wednesday, 25 March 20
INDONESIA TO CANCEL RULES REQUIRING DOMESTIC SHIPS FOR COAL, PALM EXPORTS : REFINITIV
Indonesia's government will revoke rules requiring exporters of coal and palm oil to use domestic shipping companies for shipments, Coordinatin ...
Wednesday, 25 March 20
JAN-FEB 2020, INDONESIA SHIPPED 64.5 MLN TONNES OF COAL, UP +3.4% YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
In the 12 months of calendar 2019, Indonesia exported 386.4 mln tonnes of coal, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv. This represents a ...
Tuesday, 24 March 20
MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
As countries around the world struggle to take back control of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic the global economy shuts down bit by bit, leaving only ...
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- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- White Energy Company Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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