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Tuesday, 10 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET ANALYSIS
 It might be already overstated, but it seems to be important to point out once again how peculiar the current circumstances are.
Before the start of the year, it was one of the favorite topics amongst participants in the shipping industry how challenging 2020 would be. However, no one could have guessed the level of this challenge. With some certainty, we can argue that Covid-19 spread will be a strong test, from a social, as well as an economical perspective. Instead of making further assumptions as to how the virus outbreak may or may not affect different market aspects, we could take things from a different angle and view hoping to better understand how different mechanisms are currently reacting to this unique situation, Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping Research said in his latest weekly report.
Thomas Chasapis further noted that, the global economic slowdown seems to be the inevitable outcome, emphatically evident from the recent trends being portrayed in global markets. Beyond this, the real question is as to how big this step back will eventually be. Week over week all forecasts regarding economic development and macroeconomic trends seem very prone to downward revisions, given that the virus spread seems to be more dynamic and unpredictable as time goes by. A glimpse of optimism was noted during the past weeks, given the decreasing rate of new cases testing positive to the COVID-19 virus in China. However, witnessing the hefty growth in cases reported in Italy (and across Europe), a strong wave of doubt and uncertainty has firmly hit the general economic environment. The discussions surrounding a wider quantitative easing will certainly help stabilize financial markets, a tool that has helped in many cases of severe downward pressure in the past. Regardless though of the effort made by central institutions and given the unpredictable time duration of this tail risk, it will eventually be a unique test as to the credit risks present in the financial industry. Furthermore, witnessing the steep collapse of more than 30% in oil price, the scene has become even more volatile. Theoretically, "cheap" oil would be a boost for growth and consumer spending power. However, when overall demand is, to say the least, fragile, in what way this "abundant" supply could affect the real economy seems rather questionable.
How does all the above translate over to the shipping industry? Thomas Chasapis, Research Analyst of Allied shipping Research says, certainly, the anticipation of a major step back in economic growth (which means respectively a significant slowdown in seaborne trade), can't be under any case be considered a "good" sign. A somehow opposing argument to this is the fact that dry FFA long-term contracts have increased since the beginning of the year. Maybe, this is just an optimistic opinion shared by a small minority, or maybe the fundamentals are strong, and this periodical affect is unrelated to the macro economical prospect of the dry bulk sector.
In any case, given the mixed macroeconomic environment, it would be wise to focus for the time being on the near-term picture noted in the dry bulk sector. The past couple of weeks the market seems to be in a state of transition, seemingly in a process of recovering from a freight market bottom (especially for the medium size segments – Panamaxes and Supramaxes). Time is the key variable here. As the virus spread doesn't seem to be yet under check, sentiment will turn ever more negative, while extra pressure will be applied to cash reserves and cash flows as well as to daily operating activities. On the other hand, the window of a steeper upward potential is growing, given the higher slippage rate of cargo volumes that potentially could take shape. This may well mean that we could see exaggerated returns take place from the early onset of the summer period.
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Wednesday, 11 March 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.07 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 133.16 points Monday, up 0.07 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Wednesday, 11 March 20
SHIPPING MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
On the 4th of September the Baltic Dry Index marked its highest level for 2019, reaching 2,518 points, while the rest of the dry indices also recor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
EIA FORECASTS U.S ELECTRIC POWER SECTOR DEMAND FOR COAL WILL FALL BY 81 MMST (15%) IN 2020
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019. According to EIA's Shor ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
CORONAVIRUS: DEMAND DOWNGRADES FOR BULK COMMODITIES - WOOD MACKENZIE
The coronavirus outbreak is a rapidly evolving news story – and a real wildcard for bulks demand. Our global experts are monitoring the impac ...
Tuesday, 10 March 20
CHINA'S COAL-RICH PROVINCE ENSURES ENERGY SUPPLY AMID EPIDEMIC - XINHUA
China’s coal-rich province of Shanxi has seen more than 500 coal mines resume production in February, which ensured energy supply amid the ou ...
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- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- The University of Queensland
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Australian Coal Association
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
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