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Monday, 09 March 20
OPEC+ 'NO DEAL' A BLOW TO THE MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Speaking after today’s OPEC+ meeting broke up, Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Today’s outcome is a psychological blow for the market, as the steep plunge in oil prices shows.
“And the market is now facing the spectre of unrestrained production once the current OPEC+ agreement expires in March.
“However, we do not think Saudi Arabia will push hard to lift their output in the northern hemisphere spring.
“Given weak demand and the likelihood this weakness will persist into the second quarter, it will be hard for any producer to increase their output sharply once the original production deal expires at the end of this month.”
Demand risks
She added: “One factor to bear in mind is that the plunge in demand we saw in Q1 was created by circumstances in China. The country’s coronavirus (Covid-19) containment measures have been far more stringent than those imposed anywhere else, and are not likely to be copied elsewhere.
“The lack of a production deal carries risk. This would become apparent if global economic growth weakens and oil demand continues to contract more sharply than expected thanks to the double whammy of coronavirus containment measures and falling GDP.”
Hittle said: “Our current projection sees global liquids demand fall by 2.7 million b/d year-on-year in the first quarter of 2020, the first year-on-year decline on a quarterly basis since Q2 2009.
“It is the most severe decline since Q4 2008, the height of the 2008-2009 global economic crisis, which saw demand tumble by 2.8 million b/d year-on-year.”
Hittle said: “If the impact the coronavirus has had on global oil demand is sustained, then by the second half of the year we’d expect to see weaker GDP. This will have a far greater impact on oil demand than just temporary reductions in jet fuel and gasoline demand.
“A longer, sustained outbreak of coronavirus threatens to hit oil demand with a double whammy: already weak demand will soften further because of containment measures, and this will weaken GDP.”
What next?
What does this mean for OPEC and OPEC+? It would mean that the group would likely need to monitor economic indicators closely. It may even mean that they could be forced to call an emergency meeting during the second quarter.
She added: “A sustained bout of low oil prices will further reduce cash flow and investment into the US oil patch, causing further hits to Lower 48 production growth later this year. It takes at least six to nine months for reductions in spend to lead to lower oil production in the US Lower 48.
“In that time, their access to capital may be limited and their free cash flow badly hit.
“The only silver lining in a very dark cloud is for refining – the sector will be hit hard by weak demand, but it is at least saved from tightening crude differentials associated with a major cut in OPEC supplies.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Sunday, 26 February 23
MAWANI AND JEDDAH CHAMBER SIGN AN AGREEMENT TO BUILD INTEGRATED LOGISTICS PARK
Press Release: The Saudi Ports Authority (Mawani) and Jeddah Chamber of Commerce and Industry have today inked an agreement to set up an integrated ...
Saturday, 25 February 23
INDONESIA IS STILL BY FAR THE TOP SUPPLIER OF COAL TO CHINA - BANCHERO COSTA
After a slow start in the first quarter, global coal trade has really picked up pace last year, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels, said ban ...
Wednesday, 22 February 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The short-term outlook of the global soybean market is currently pivoted by a combination of weather patterns that are affecting the harvest progre ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
OIL UNLIKELY TO BREAK ABOVE $100/BBL THIS YEAR, J.P.MORGAN SAYS –- REUTERS
Brent oil prices are unlikely to breach the $100 a barrel level this year, barring any significant geopolitical drivers, with OPEC+ potentially add ...
Saturday, 18 February 23
CHINA'S COAL PRICES FALL TO 1 YR-LOW, CLOUDING DEMAND AND IMPORT OUTLOOK - REUTERS
China’s thermal coal prices hit their lowest levels in a year this week on rising inventories as domestic mine production is recovering faste ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
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