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Monday, 09 March 20
OPEC+ 'NO DEAL' A BLOW TO THE MARKET - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Speaking after today’s OPEC+ meeting broke up, Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president, Macro Oils, at Wood Mackenzie, said: “Today’s outcome is a psychological blow for the market, as the steep plunge in oil prices shows.
“And the market is now facing the spectre of unrestrained production once the current OPEC+ agreement expires in March.
“However, we do not think Saudi Arabia will push hard to lift their output in the northern hemisphere spring.
“Given weak demand and the likelihood this weakness will persist into the second quarter, it will be hard for any producer to increase their output sharply once the original production deal expires at the end of this month.”
Demand risks
She added: “One factor to bear in mind is that the plunge in demand we saw in Q1 was created by circumstances in China. The country’s coronavirus (Covid-19) containment measures have been far more stringent than those imposed anywhere else, and are not likely to be copied elsewhere.
“The lack of a production deal carries risk. This would become apparent if global economic growth weakens and oil demand continues to contract more sharply than expected thanks to the double whammy of coronavirus containment measures and falling GDP.”
Hittle said: “Our current projection sees global liquids demand fall by 2.7 million b/d year-on-year in the first quarter of 2020, the first year-on-year decline on a quarterly basis since Q2 2009.
“It is the most severe decline since Q4 2008, the height of the 2008-2009 global economic crisis, which saw demand tumble by 2.8 million b/d year-on-year.”
Hittle said: “If the impact the coronavirus has had on global oil demand is sustained, then by the second half of the year we’d expect to see weaker GDP. This will have a far greater impact on oil demand than just temporary reductions in jet fuel and gasoline demand.
“A longer, sustained outbreak of coronavirus threatens to hit oil demand with a double whammy: already weak demand will soften further because of containment measures, and this will weaken GDP.”
What next?
What does this mean for OPEC and OPEC+? It would mean that the group would likely need to monitor economic indicators closely. It may even mean that they could be forced to call an emergency meeting during the second quarter.
She added: “A sustained bout of low oil prices will further reduce cash flow and investment into the US oil patch, causing further hits to Lower 48 production growth later this year. It takes at least six to nine months for reductions in spend to lead to lower oil production in the US Lower 48.
“In that time, their access to capital may be limited and their free cash flow badly hit.
“The only silver lining in a very dark cloud is for refining – the sector will be hit hard by weak demand, but it is at least saved from tightening crude differentials associated with a major cut in OPEC supplies.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Tuesday, 11 April 23
OIL RISES ON CHINA STIMULUS EXPECTATIONS, WEAKER DOLLAR - REUTERS
Oil prices rose on Tuesday on expectations of potential economic stimulus by China, healthy demand in the rest of Asia and a drop in U.S. crude sto ...
Sunday, 09 April 23
CHINA’S BUSINESS INCOME REBOUND POINTS TO IMPROVING ECONOMY: OFFICIAL - XINHUA
Chinese businesses have posted a strong rebound in sales revenue since the beginning of this year in the latest signal of an improving economy.
...
Sunday, 09 April 23
COAL INDIA TO BOOST SUPPLIES TO INDUSTRIES AS UTILITIES’ INVENTORIES RISE - REUTERS
Coal India Ltd will increase supplies to industries, the world’s largest coal miner said on Wednesday as fuel inventories at utilities run by ...
Thursday, 06 April 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
LNG Current Supply/Demand Dynamics
This year, LNG supply will likely exceed demand, so prices will need to decline to levels that will encourag ...
Sunday, 26 March 23
EUROPE’S RUSH TO LNG COULD TURN INTO 'WORLD’S MOST EXPENSIVE AND UNNECESSARY INSURANCE POLICY'- CNBC
Europe’s rapid buildout of liquefied natural gas infrastructure is on track to far exceed demand by the end of the decade, according to new r ...
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- White Energy Company Limited
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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