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Friday, 14 February 20
WHY THE WORLD ECONOMY WILL BE FACING CHINA'S CORONAVIRUS FOR A LONG TIME - CNBC
 Everywhere we look we see the headlines and commentators talking about the coronavirus and its impact on tourism, trade and investment between China and the West — and China and the U.S., in particular. However, there are far-reaching effects that have not been contemplated fully beyond the intuitive assessment.
Things move slowly. China has long been known as a country with patience, which in business language translates to longer lead times in the transactional arena, sometimes exhaustive negotiations, and relationships are built over time. Many of these relationships are created in the environment of trade shows, conferences, information exchange platforms, and trade delegations. China has finely tuned this method of cross-border introductions and it is a continuous process.
Combined with this is the growth of the multinational business presence in China. Major retailers, manufacturers, pharmaceuticals, biotech, automotive and other sectors are firmly planted in China with technology and personnel. Now, with the essentially closed border with China, the rest of the world waits and watches. To the business community, this is unsettling, to say the least, because there is no accurate predictor of when a vaccine may be found or when the world threat eradicated. Even when those pronouncements are ultimately made by Beijing there is the inherent distrust of information disseminated by the Chinese government.
So what does all of this mean for cross-border business in the short and long term?
An aerial view reveals that the movement of people and technology and deal closure have simply come to a halt. When the Chinese government, or other governments, or the WHO pronounce that it is safe to travel to China again, that will not be the end of it. There has been a worldwide reaction to the scare. The tradeshow and related cancellations have occurred not only in China but throughout Asia and into Europe. Therefore, a wide swath of activities are upended across all business sectors.
The rate of new cases slowed on Wednesday. As of this writing, there have been more than 45,000 cases of Covid-19 and over 1,100 deaths. Businesses from cruise ships to luxury brands and air travel, as well as global markets like oil, have all been hit. There can be no question that it will be a slow and painful process moving back to normalcy. Professional offices remain closed indefinitely, and 90% of businesses are closed or at dramatically reduced hours. Theaters, factories and others where people congregate are closed.
We are all familiar with the recent comparisons of coronavirus with SARS, but there is no real comparison. SARS was perceived as essentially a Hong Kong-centric event and everyone wondered if that would be the death of the HK economy, coming a few years after the handover. Moreover, social media and its impact on global interaction were just launching, and China’s interaction with the world economy was in its infancy.
Transparency will be the key to short term confidence which will lead to a long-term recovery. This is despite short-term pain and embarrassment. All governments can learn a lesson from this, but Beijing has yet to learn it. It may very well be that Wuhan, as ground zero for the Coronavirus, never recovers. The headlines today paint Wuhan as a pariah city, in a wartime battle and in lockdown. The Chinese Chernobyl. These characterizations will not be easily shed. Wuhan, as the capital of Hubei province, has positioned itself as a foreign investment hub and has developed trade, manufacturing and export and development zones to highlight its growth and position within China. Companies will have to assess whether or not their investments should remain in Wuhan or be moved.
Considering China’s impact on the world economy, China will not be off limits to future investment forever. Instead, there will be wariness and unbridled caution for the foreseeable future. Businesses will seek alternatives to avoid commercial and liability issues.
In the best case, returning to normal is not a reasonable expectation in the short term. In the long term, China must take all steps necessary to demonstrate its commitment to transparency regarding all factors relating to the virus. In today’s economy, there are many alternatives for trade and investment and China must recognize that its global trade partners need regular and repeated reassurances. Additionally, China will need to inject substantial financial incentives into the economy to balance against commercial and optical risks.
In the best of circumstances, this process will take six to nine months to see the way forward to a stable and commercially feasible reintroduction of business, confidence and renewed investment. This will require unrelenting adjustments as events require. There is no single action or vaccine that will erase the impact of the coronavirus. A group of actions are needed to restore the zeal and excitement for consumer, business, investment and tourism.
Anything less will create a lingering atmosphere of caution and distrust.
Source: CNBC
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Saturday, 15 February 20
CHEN ZHIDA: NOVEL CORONAVIRUS - IMPLICATIONS FOR CHARTERPARTIES - SHIPOWNERS' CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Last month, the Club issued a bulletin on the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) which explained the origin of the virus a ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
AFRAMAX: A MORE POSITIVE ATTITUDE EXISTED IN THIS SECTOR WITH RATES IMPROVING ON ALL ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
VLCC
The market in the Middle East was unmoved this week, with Chinese refiners continuing to slow imports, allied with the impact of the Coron ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
A 56,000DWT VESSEL WAS CONCLUDED BASIS DELIVERY SINGAPORE VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA IN THE LOW $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Riding the downward momentum of the previous week, the market was always going to be hard pressed to make any sort of revival. With mu ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION WILL TOTAL 595 MMST IN 2020, DOWN 14% FROM 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019.
Lower ...
Friday, 14 February 20
KOWEPO INVITED BIDS FOR 1.275 MILLION TONS OF MIN. 5,600 NCV COAL
COALspot.com: Korea Western Power Co. Ltd (KOWEPO). as a representative of five Korean Gencos has issued an international tender for total 1,275,00 ...
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- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The University of Queensland
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Australian Coal Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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