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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 21 January 20
THERMAL COAL PRICES SET FOR RECOVERY THIS YEAR AS OVERSUPPLY TIGHTENS - REUTERS
Thermal coal prices are expected to recover this year after losing around a third of their value last year as demand from some south-east Asian cou ...
Monday, 20 January 20
INDIA TO STOP SUBSTITUTABLE COAL IMPORT; CAN GO FOR AUCTION OF 100 FULLY EXPLORED NEW BLOCKS: JOSHI - PTI
The Cabinet recently approved promulgation of Mineral Laws (Amendment) Ordinance 2020 to amend Mines and Minerals (Development and Regulation ) Act ...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA DECEMBER COAL OUTPUT UP 2.4 PERCENT ON YEAR - STATS BUREAU: REUTERS
China produced 331.74 million tonnes of coal in December, up 2.4 percent on the year, the National Bureau of Statistics said on Friday.
...
Monday, 20 January 20
CHINA IMPORTED 124.4 MLN TONNES OF COAL FROM INDONESIA IN 2019, UP 15.1 PERCENT YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
China's coal imports raced ahead in 2019, surprising many who had expected that in the months of 2019 to come the government would clamp down s ...
Saturday, 18 January 20
BIMCO: LOW-SULPHUR FUEL SALE JUMPS TO A 70% SHARE IN SINGAPORE, AS THE IMO 2020 SULPHUR CAP KICKS IN
The final quarter of 2019 marked a massive decline of HSFO sales, as the industry transitioned into compliance of the IMO 2020 Sulphur Cap (IMO2020 ...
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- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- White Energy Company Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
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