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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 07 November 11
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS STEAM AHEAD
Chinese seaborne coal imports have grown greatly in recent years, up from 39.2mt in 2008 to 167.7mt in 2010, with the result that China became a net ...
Saturday, 05 November 11
DEMAND SLUMP THREATENS MORE PAIN FOR BULK VESSELS - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The market continued to fall with BDI dropping below 2,000 points by around 10 pct and closing at 1817 points. The cape index also co ...
Saturday, 05 November 11
BERAU STARTS TO EXPLORE BINUNGAN SITE - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal miner PT Berau Coal, a 90% owned subsidiary of PT Berau Coal Energy Tbk (BRAU), is busy to hold exploration in B ...
Friday, 04 November 11
INDIAN IRON ORE MARKET REMAINS DEAD - FEARNLEYS
Handy
The Atlantic market kept its strong position from last week. Even with fewer fixtures reported. Fronthauls still around 25k, wit ...
Thursday, 03 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET OFFICIALLY IN THE RED ON LOWER CARGO DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market kept falling yesterday, on lower iron ore demand, which has caused the industry’s benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) to ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
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